The role of ‘blended finance’ in achieving Sustainable Development Goal 6.1 and 6.2 by 2030: A case study in Tanzania

 

Faculty of Engineering

School of Civil Engineering


 The role of ‘blended finance’ in achieving Sustainable Development Goal 6.1 and 6.2 by 2030: A case study in Tanzania


Author: OSCAR TIMOTHY BALONGO

 

This dissertation is presented in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the

award of the MSc in Water, Sanitation and Health Engineering of the University of Leeds

                        

Date: September 2021

 

Word Count:  14959


ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

 

I would like to express my deepest and sincere appreciation to my supervisor, Professor Barbara Evans, for her endless support and inspiration and as well as PhD candidates under her tutorship; Jonathan Wilcox and Mariam Zaqout for providing close guidance¸ mentorship, and valuable insights none of which this work would have been possible to realise. Special thanks to the UK Government through the Chevening Scholarship Programme for funding my MSc studies at the University of Leeds; a truly life changing and enriching educational experience I hope to extend by helping others. I would further like to extend my appreciation to my mom, Jonia Balongo, and family, the WaSH MSc course leader, Dr Paul Hutchings, classmates, close friends, and lecturers in the school of Civil Engineering for their patience and emotional and mental support during such a significantly difficult year gripped by COVID-19.


ABSTRACT

 

This research adopted a descriptive case study approach that used secondary data to investigate two case studies (Philippines and Kenya), towards examining the role of ‘blended finance’ in funding Tanzania’s WaSH sector towards reaching its SDG 6.1 and 6.2 targets by 2030 (in only nine years). The impact of the Covid-19 pandemic has collapsed the financial sources for the already grappling WaSH sector in Tanzania, widening the financial gap for SDG 6.1 and 6.2. Exploring alternative potentials to finance the sector is most important now than ever before. ‘Blended finance’ has recently gained global attention as a strategic instrument to mobilize additional resources from domestic private investments into the WaSH sector. This research used the case examples from the Philippines Water Revolving Fund (PWRF) and Kenya Creditworthiness Index to design an ‘idealised financial framework’ for attracting and incorporating blended finances into Tanzania’s WaSH sector. This research identified five key components for attracting blended finances to Tanzania’s WaSH sector: a revolving fund; technical assistance; a guaranteeing system; legal and regulatory reform; and a credit rating system. These components were used to develop an ‘idealised financial framework’ that will potentially attract and incorporate ‘blended finance' into Tanzania’s WaSH sector. It is the aspiration of this research that the idealised framework will inspire WaSH sector policy makers to better-use the potential of the growing ‘blended finance’ market to attract additional resources for Tanzania’s WaSH sector and increase finance flows to accelerate rates of fulfilling SDG targets 6.1 and 6.2 by 2030. Further research topics identified during the course of this study include deepening the understanding of financial accounting for the WaSH sector in Tanzania – identified as a constraint to deepen this study; as well as studies related to the liabilities and potential negative impacts associated with utilising ‘blended finances’ in WaSH sectors.

 

Key words: Blended finance, WaSH finance, repayable finances, domestic private finance, water revolving fund, creditworthiness, credit rating.

DECLARATION

I, OSCAR TIMOTHY BALONGO declare that this dissertation and the work presented in it are my own and has been generated by me as the result of my own original research.

 

I confirm that:

1. This work was done wholly or mainly while in candidature for a degree at this University;

2. This dissertation has not been previously submitted for the purposes of obtaining any other qualification at this University or any other institution.

3. Where any part of this dissertation has previously been submitted for any other qualification at this University or any other institution, this has been clearly stated;

4. Where I have consulted the published work of others, this is always clearly attributed;

5. Where I have quoted from the work of others, the source is always given. With the exception of such quotations, this thesis is entirely my own work;

6. I have acknowledged all the main sources of assistance with the preparation of this work;

7. Where the thesis is based on work done by myself jointly with others, I have made clear exactly what was done by others and what I have done myself;

8. None of this work has been published before submission.

 

Signature:



 

CONTENTS

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS. i

ABSTRACT. ii

DECLARATION.. iii

LIST OF FIGURE. ix

ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS. x

CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION.. 1

1.1 Understanding what needs to be achieved for SDG 6.1 and 6.2 by 2030. 1

1.2 Financing needed to meet SDG target 6.1 and 6.2. 2

1.3 The traditional financial flows within the WASH sector 2

1.4 Why urgent mobilization of financial resources is needed?. 3

1.5 Mobilizing additional finance in WaSH sector through attracting repayable finances. 3

1.6 Study Area. 4

1.7 Motivation for research. 5

1.8 Key Terminology. 6

1.9 Aims and Objectives. 6

1.10 Research Methodology. 7

1.11 Outline. 7

CHAPTER 2: LITERATURE REVIEW... 9

2.1 Repayable finance in the WaSH sector 9

2.1.1 Critical limitations of flows of market-based repayable finance into the WaSH sector 10

    Lack of effective Tariff-Settings and reliable revenue stream for cost recovery. 10

    Private Investors provide shorter loan tenors whilst the WaSH sector has longer payback periods of return on their investments. 11

2.2 Blended finance: A new approach to attracting commercial finance into the WaSH sector 12

2.2.1 Benefits of blending finances in WaSH sector 12

2.3 Blended finances in Tanzania. 13

2.4 Institutional service delivery management framework for WaSH in Tanzania. 14

A. Urban Water and Sanitation Authorities (UWSA) 14

B. Rural Water Supply and Sanitation Agency (RUWASA) 15

2.5 Status of WaSH service levels in Tanzania. 15

A. Status of Water Supply Service levels in Tanzania. 16

B. Status of Sanitation service levels in Tanzania. 17

C. Status of Hygiene service levels in Tanzania. 18

2.6 Trends of the financial investment gap in the Tanzania WaSH sector 19

2.7 The existing Financial structure for the Water sector in Tanzania. 21

Conclusion. 22

CHAPTER 3: METHODOLOGY.. 23

3.1 Proposed methodology. 23

3.1.1 The rationale of descriptive approach Case Study. 23

3.2 Graphical representation of the methodological steps. 24

3.4 Research approach and strategy. 25

3.5 Data Collection. 26

3.6 Data analysis. 26

3.7 Validity and Reliability. 27

CHAPTER 4: ANALYSIS OF CASE STUDY/RESULTS. 29

4.1 Key sectoral issues affecting the financial investments into the Tanzania WaSH sector 29

4.2 The Philippines Water Revolving Fund (PWRF). 32

4.2.1 Background of PWRF. 32

4.2.2 Financial Structure and Approach to Blended Finance. 33

4.2.3. Influence of PWRF blending system on addressing WaSH sectoral investment issues. 34

4.3 The Kenyan creditworthiness Index of WaSH Service Providers. 36

4.3.1 Background of Credit rating in Kenya. 36

4.3.2 Structure of a Commercial Finance Transaction in the Kenya Water Sector 37

4.3.4 Influence of PWRF blending system on addressing WaSH sectoral investment issues. 38

4.4 Summary of five main components for attracting blended finances in Tanzania WaSH sector 40

CHAPTER 5: DISCUSSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS. 42

5.1 Discussion of the five key components of blending and their application to Tanzania’s context. 42

5.2 Sectoral investiment issues and their potential solutions to attract blended finance. 47

5.3 Idealised framework for attracting blended finances to Tanzania’s WaSH sector 48

5.4 Recommendations. 49

5.5 Research limitations. 50

5.6 Moving Forward and Suggestions for Further Research. 51

CHAPTER 6: CONCLUSION.. 54

REFERENCES. 56

ANNEXES. 63

ANNEX 1: CORE CONCEPTS AND DEFINITIONS. 63

ANNEX 2: BACKGROUNDS OF CASE STUDY COUNTRIES. 65

Annex 2.1 Tanzania Social-Economic Overview.. 65

Socio-economic background. 65

Annex 2.2 Philippines socio-economic and wash sector overview.. 66

Socio-economic overview.. 66

Philippine WaSH sector overview.. 66

Impact/Results of the PWRF approach. 67

Annex 2.3 Kenya socio-economic and wash sector overview.. 68

Socio-Economic Overview.. 68

Kenya Water Supply and Sanitation (WSS) Sector Overview and financial needs. 68

Impacts/Results of creditworthiness in Kenyan WaSH sector 69

ANNEX 3: KENYA CREDITWORTHINESS INDICATORS. 70

ANNEX 4: WASH SECTOR INVESTMENT ISSUES AND HOW COUNTRIES HAVE RESPONDED TO SOLVING THEM. 72

 

 

 

LIST OF TABLES

Table 1: Table of key underpinning terminology which will be used throughout this dissertation…………………………………………………………………………………6

Table 2: Status of water supply accessibility in rural and urban Tanzania between 2015 & 2020…………………………………………………………………………...…………..17

Table 3: Status of sanitation access in rural and urban Tanzania between 2015 & 2020 2020……………………………………………………………………………………….18

Table 4: Status of access to hygiene facilities in rural and urban Tanzania, 2015 & 2020 ………………………………………………………………………………………….…19

Table 5: Tanzania annual WaSH Sector Financial plan…………………………………………………………………………………..……20

Table 6: Annual approved budgets against WSDP II requirements…………………………………………………………………………..…..21

Table7: Criteria for case study selection……………………………………………………………………………….….25

Table 8: Addressing Reliability and validity in case study methodology……………………………………………………………………………...28

Table 9: Key issues affecting the Tanzania WaSH sector financial investment scalability………………………………………………………………….………….…..30

Table 10: How Philippines addressed the key sectoral investment issues using the PWRF…….……………………………………………………………………………....35

Table 11: How is Kenya addressed the key sectoral investment issues using the Creditworthiness Index…………………………………………………………………..38

  

LIST OF FIGURE

Figure 1: Trend of ‘blended finances’ transactions into SDGs from 2015-2018………….4

Figure 2: Repayable finance as a source of finance to bridge the financial gap for the WASH sector……………………………………………………………………………..10

Figure 3: Schematic Overview of the Investment Financing Facility (IFF) Scheme in Tanzania………………………………………………………………………………..…14

Figure 4: The current water sector financial flow structure in Tanzania……………...….22

Figure 5: Case study research: Design and procedure……………………………………24

Figure 6: Philippine Water Revolving Fund (PWRF): Financial Structure……………...34

Figure 7: Structure of a Commercial Finance processes in the Kenya Water Sector….…38

Figure 8: Summary of five components to address the key sectoral issues while attracting domestic repayable finances for blended finance in WaSH sector………………….……41

Figure 9: Summary of application of the 5 key components between Philippines and Kenya……………………………………………………………………………………..41

Figure 10:  WaSH sector issues and their potential be solution  WaSH sector in Tanzania……………………………………………………………………………………...……48Figure 11: Idealised framework for ‘blended finance’ into Tanzania’s WaSH sector…...49


ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS

DBP

Development Bank of the Philippines

DCA

Development Credit Authority

EWURA

Energy and Water Utilities Regulatory Authority

GDP

Gross Domestic Product

GNI

Gross National Income

GLAAS

Global Analysis and Assessment of Sanitation and Drinking-Water

GRP

Gross Regional Product

IFF

International Finance Facility

JMP

Joint Monitoring Program

JBIC

Japan Bank for International Cooperation

JICA

Japan International Cooperation Agency

KfW

Kreditanstalt für Wiederaufbau / Credit Institute for Reconstruction

LGU

Local Government Unit

LGA

Local Government Authority

LGUGC

Local Government Unit Guaranteeing Cooperation

MDG

Millennium Development Goal

NWIF

National Water Investment Fund

OBA

Output-Based Aid

ODA

Official development Assistance

OECD

Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development

PWRF

Philippines Water Revolving Fund

RUWASA

Rural Water Supply and Sanitation Authority

SDG

Sustainable Development Goal

Tsh

Tanzania Shillings

TrackFin

Tracking Financing

TZA

Tanzania

UNICEF

United Nations International Children's Fund

UN

United Nations

URT

United Republic of Tanzania

UWSSA

Urban Water supply and Sanitation Authority

USAID

United States Agency for International Development

WaSH

Water, Sanitation and Hygiene

WASREB

Water Services Regulatory Board

WSP(s)

Water/WaSH Service Provider(s)

WSSR

Water Sector Status Report

WHO

World Health Organisation

WSPD

Water Sector Development Plan

 

CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION

This chapter is set to introduce the research topic by giving global background information about the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) ambitions which are planned for fulfilment by 2030, their global indicators, the financing needed for their achievement, and the current main sources of finance. Furthermore, this chapter explains the context for Tanzania - this research project’s study area, the motivation for conducting this research, defining key terminology, the research aims and objectives, its justification, methodology and finally an outline of the onward chapters within this dissertation.

1.1 Understanding what needs to be achieved for SDG 6.1 and 6.2 by 2030

SDG number 6 on clean water and sanitation is a more expensive and ambitious goal aiming at “ensuring availability and sustainability of water, sanitation and hygiene for all by 2030” (UNEP, 2021), which was extended from its predecessor – the Millennium Development Goal (MDG) target 7C which aimed at reducing world’s population without access to safe drinking water and basic sanitation by half by 2015 (UN, 2020).

SDG target 6.1 and 6.2, as agreed by the United Nations member states are associated with their respective indicators as follows.

Target 6.1: “By 2030, achieve universal and equitable access to safe and affordable drinking water for all.”

      Indicator 6.1.1: “Proportion of population using safely managed drinking water services”

Target 6.2: “By 2030, achieve access to adequate and equitable sanitation and hygiene for all and end open defecation, paying special attention to the needs of women and girls and those in vulnerable situations.”

      Indicator 6.2.1: “Proportion of population using (a) safely managed sanitation services and (b) a hand-washing facility with soap and water.”

The term ‘safely managed’ used in indicators 6.1.1 and 6.2.1 for monitoring SDG 6.1 and 6.2 holds significant indication of higher expectations of WaSH services than the ‘improved’ requirement which was stressed during the MDG goals period (World Bank Group and UNICEF, 2017).

The JMP developed different metrics for using ‘safely managed’ and ‘improved’ services. The definitions of these metrics are given in Chapter 01.

1.2 Financing needed to meet SDG target 6.1 and 6.2

It is significant to note that large investment is needed for countries to reach ambitious goals (listed above in 1.1) in such short period of time left before 2030. Hutton and Varughese, (2016) estimate that the current level of investment flowing for contributing towards SDG target 6.1 and 6.2 are only enough for meeting the ‘capital costs’ of services and infrastructure for WaSH and do not account for the costs associated with the ongoing operation and maintenance of WaSH services, systems, and their management (World Bank Group and UNICEF, 2017). Estimates suggest that approximately US$ 114 billion, three times the current global capital investments per year, is required to meet world-wide access to ‘safely managed’ level by 2030 only for SDG 6.1 and 6.2. Therefore, significant spending is needed in areas with slow progress such as in Sub-Saharan Africa, where capital expenditures of 0.64% of the gross regional product (GRP) would be needed to close their financial gap (Hutton and Varughese, 2016).

1.3 The traditional financial flows within the WASH sector

Typically, service providers within the WaSH sector get the funding from three main supplies: tariffs, taxes, and transfers - often called the “3 T’s” (World Bank, 2017, Winpenny, 2003). For the clarity of this study, the definitions of 3Ts used in this report are provided in Chapter 01. The 2018/2019 WHO-GLAAS country survey report in 35 countries (including Tanzania) representing 1.3 population, estimated that “3’T’s” represented 95% of the WaSH expenditures sources. These sources are usually preferred in the sector because they do not require repayment, although they can infrequently fulfil existing financial gaps due to nature of the WaSH sector needing large capital investments and relatively longer payback times from its invested infrastructure (World Bank, 2017). Many emerging countries are using an innovative financial mechanism such as ‘repayable finance’ to pre-finance the WaSH sector in order to supplement where the sector falls short (World Bank Group and UNICEF, 2017).

1.4 Why urgent mobilization of financial resources is needed?

More attention is needed to increase the investments in WaSH beyond traditional sources because the threat of underinvestment cannot be neglected. The negative socio-economic, and ecological impacts of not investing in universal access to basic water and sanitation services are immense. These impacts are associated with avoidable medical treatment costs, loss of productivity, premature deaths, loss of time during travel and collection of water and queuing for sanitation services and causing avoidable nuisance to the environment (World Bank, 2018). Hutton (2012) documented economic losses linked to inadequate water and sanitation services ranging between 0.7% and 4.3% of GDP in developing regions, or 1.5% globally, with the highest losses in Sub-Saharan Africa. On contrary, every dollar invested in WaSH infrastructure has been estimated to present a four-fold socio-economic, health, and environmental return benefit to society (Hutton and Varughese, 2016).

1.5 Mobilizing additional finance in WaSH sector through attracting repayable finances

The OECD definition of repayable finance is given in Table 1 below. OECD, (2010) stresses that repayable finance is not a separate source of funding because it requires compensation, repayment in the future, as well as remuneration in the form of interest or dividends (OECD, 2010). While it presents much potential to expand the WaSH financial sources, repayable finance is significantly under-utilised, representing only 9% of expenditure sources in the sector (WHO, 2019). For many years, the WaSH sector has been identified as the ‘business risky’ sector for private investment due to low capacity in generating revenue, inability to recover costs on time, weak regulatory framework, and poor leadership (United Nations, 2018). Since private investors are looking for more reliable and stable businesses, usually the WaSH sector falls out of the criteria to access these investments. Since the Addis Ababa Agenda (Third International Conference on Financing for Development) in 2015, many international communities including international development institutions endorsed ‘blended finances’ as one strategic tool that can potentially resolve the perceived market failures of private finances to improve the allocation of financial resources into development sectors in developing economies (OECDa, 2020). OECD has recently set-up the blended finance principles guiding the international development institutions to apply blended finance in their portfolios and is already recognised by many G20 and G7 countries in their financial frameworks for supporting financing for SDGs (OECDa, 2020). This shows a changing development architecture, and blended finance approach is increasingly a trusted method for mobilizing additional finances from private investments into development sectors. Figure 1 below shows a steady growth of blended finances deployed into SDGs since 2015 to 2018.

Figure 1: Trend of ‘blended finances’ transactions into SDGs from 2015-2018 (Adopted from Emelly and Philip, 2020).

1.6 Study Area

Chapter 0 on this report provides a summary of Tanzania social economic background and progress, population growth and the recent impact of Covid-19 on the financial systems and its projection. Tanzania has been chosen as the case study for this research because its budget for SDG 6.1 and 6.2 falls short from the needed investments for reaching and attaining the ‘safely managed’ level of WaSH services by 2030. The estimates by the government of Tanzania show that the country needs annual investments of about US$ 1.2 billion to attain universal access to WaSH targets by 2030, but only US$ 885 million is reasonably available annually (USAID, 2020). A recent report on ‘Tanzania’s Mainland WaSH budget briefing’ further indicates that the annual allocation for the WaSH sector has significantly decreased to US$ 273.8 million in the year 2019/20, indicating a funding gap of about US$ 926.2 million (UNICEF, 2020). The sector WaSH service access gap in Tanzania is covered in detail elsewhere in Chapter 0 in the next chapter.

1.7 Motivation for research

The recent hit of the global COVID-19 crisis has triggered the major financial setback for most developing countries to financing their national SDG visions and targets (OECD, 2020). The Tanzania WaSH sector, which had already struggled to establish sustainable financial sources before COVID-19, has significantly been knocked even harder by the crisis. The indispensable public development aids for WaSH sector in developing economies has also significantly reduced as even developed global economies are also struggling to recover from the crisis.

To recover from such stresses and deliver towards the SDG targets for 2030, Tanzania will need to diversify its financial sources for the WaSH sector and mobilise funding at a larger scale in speeds than traditionally known. It is time for the country to explore ‘blended finance’ and develop financial structures that will help the sector recover from the crisis and ensure the SDG targets are sustainably met or strived towards by 2030.

 

1.8 Key Terminology

Table 1: Table of key underpinning terminology which will be
used throughout this dissertation (OECD, 2010).

Term

Definitions

Repayable finance

“Financial flows that require repayment at a future date plus remuneration for the use of capital, in the form of interest or dividends. This may include loans, bonds and equity and can only bridge the financing gap, i.e., help finance upfront investments” (OECD, 2010).

Blended finance

“A strategic use of development finance for the mobilisation of additional finance towards sustainable development in developing countries. Blended finance attracts commercial capital towards projects that contribute to sustainable development, while providing financial returns to investors” (OECD, 2010).

Creditworthiness

“Is a measure of a borrower’s ability and willingness to service its debt obligations, which

is more likely to occur when they recover 150 percent or more of their operating costs and have good debt service coverage ratios”. To be creditworthy, the utility must demonstrate a reliable stream of positive cash flow from operations as well as sufficient cash reserves in the case that future cash flows are not sufficient.

 

1.9 Aims and Objectives

The basic aim of this research project is to draw examples from other countries – notably the Philippines and Kenya, on how blending ‘repayable finance’ with public funds can play a role on improving the sources and resources of finance for Tanzania’s WaSH sector, while also closing the financial gap and exploring an innovative financial framework to mobilise such finance. The principal research question of this study is, ‘how can blended repayable finances help attain SDG 6.1 and 6.2 for Tanzania’. The following objectives were identified as stepwise components in fulfilling the aim of this study:

1.     To investigate existing literature, financial documents, and sector budgets and reports to identify the current status of WaSH services and its institutional arrangement for delivery, trends of financial investment gap, the existing financing structure and its challenges for the WaSH sector in Tanzania.

2.     To identify the sectoral issues affecting and hindering the financial investments into the Tanzania WaSH sector.

3.     Identify the key components the Philippines Water Revolving Fund (PWRF) and Kenya Creditworthiness Index used to address the key sectoral issues using innovative blending mechanisms in their funding portfolio.

4.     To develop an idealised financial framework presented as a schematic for mobilising blended finance in Tanzania’s WaSH sector by drawing examples from the Philippines and Kenya key lessons and improvements and adapted to the context for Tanzania.

5.      To suggest recommendations needed for mobilization of ‘blended finance’ of the WaSH sector in Tanzania.

 

1.10 Research Methodology

This research project adopted a descriptive case study methodology. A method of qualitative secondary data collection was used to capture the information for this research. All secondary data were collected online through publicly available documents.

 

1.11 Outline

This dissertation is split into the following chapters:

Chapter 1: Gives the background information and detail with respect to this research project dissertation.

Chapter 2: Examines the available secondary data about the research topic. This covers the literature review about repayable finance, institutional service delivery management framework for WaSH in Tanzania, trends of financial investment gap in the Tanzania WaSH sector, and the existing financial structure for the WaSH sector in Tanzania.

Chapter 3: Discuss the methodology used for this research

Chapter 4: Provides the analysis of Tanzania’s key WaSH sectoral issues for financial investments and the key lessons of how the Philippines and Kenya addressed their key WaSH sectoral issues by adopting the use of blending financial mechanisms. From the Tanzania sectoral issues and key lessons from the Philippines and Kenya, an idealised schematic financial framework is proposed with its following justification.

Chapter 5: Provides the discussion, recommendations, and limitations of the study.

Chapter 6: Gives a conclusion of the research.


CHAPTER 2: LITERATURE REVIEW

This chapter seeks to address the first of the five objectives associated with this research project as listed in section 1.9. This review draws an understanding from existing knowledge regarding the WaSH financing gap in Tanzania and how it is linked to poor realization of national WaSH-related targets and SDG 6.1 and 6.2. The review further investigates the knowledge of repayable finance and their potential role in financing the sector. The knowledge from this chapter will be useful to enlighten the comprehensive understanding of financial gaps for the WaSH sector in Tanzania, brighten the role of repayable finance in fulfilling such a gap, and most importantly, provide the knowledge on the institutional arrangement for currently delivering WaSH services which will be significantly useful when recommending and proposing a financial structure/framework for supporting and attracting domestic repayable finance sources into the sector.

2.1 Repayable finance in the WaSH sector

Section 1.5 of this research briefly explained repayable finance and their limitations in WaSH sector. This section further gives details on the mismatch between repayable finances and WaSH sector. Repayable finance allows authorities and WaSH service providers to borrow and allocate capital expenditures in their WaSH sector over a period and repay the finance through potential taxes, transfers, and tariff revenues (World Bank, 2017). Figure 2 below shows how repayable finance can play part in bridging the financial gap water sector.

 

Figure 2: Repayable finance as a source of finance to bridge the financial gap for the WASH sector (Adopted from OECD 2009, cited in Machete, 2021).

 

2.1.1 Critical limitations of flows of market-based repayable finance into the WaSH sector

This subsection discusses several challenges that the WaSH sector faces which impact its ability to mobilise commercial/private finance.

·     Lack of effective Tariff-Settings and reliable revenue stream for cost recovery

For the well-established WaSH sector, revenues from tariffs are the utmost operational and conventional source for WaSH service providers to recovery capital costs and operate the service system sustainably (Leigland, 2016). In most emerging economies, tariffs are often set well below and do not meet amount required to recover the capital, operational, and maintenance costs associated with service delivery (Leigland, 2016). This ideology comes from a wider political and religion expedient, holding a public impression that water is naturally available from the earth and should be provided by their public utilities for free or at an absolute low cost (Leigland, 2016).

In the absence of a well-regulated cost recovery system - especially tariff revenues, infrastructure erodes as a result of inadequate operation and maintenance investments, locking the sector into low services levels, consequently leading to poor customers’ willingness to pay for the service (Leigland et al, 2016). The cycle of dependence on public funds and external aid then repeats itself. This affects the most reliable source of revenue for the sector (tariffs), leading to financial inefficiencies in the sector, with no cost recovery. Subsequently, this reduces sector trust from financial institutions who could be potential funding sources, labelling the sector as a ‘business risky’ sector. Most commercial lenders are reluctant to disburse commercial finance because they need to be sure that the service providers are capable of sustainably and consistently operating and delivering a service that will guarantee returning the agreed debt during the maturity period (Lesley et al, 2019).

·     Private Investors provide shorter loan tenors whilst the WaSH sector has longer payback periods of return on their investments

The primary aim of private financers is to ensure that their investment strategies claim their ability to shift move their investments in as many projects as possible by keeping their loan maturities shorter, in order to generate more profits, but also to reduce the liquidity risks especially with less creditworthy borrowers (Leigland et al, 2016). On the other hand, the WaSH sector requires higher initial capital investments with an allowance of longer-term investment payback. For example, commercial financers often offer loans with shorter tenors between 5 to 7 years, while the sector needs at least 15 to 25 years (OECD, 2019a).

Despite the long-time of return, the sector holds positive economic prospects as many types of WaSH infrastructure are very long-lived, with an economic life extending to 100 years or more – stressed that a key factor on lifetime will be operation and maintenance investments (OECD, 2018a). The limited experience and knowledge of private financers on the financial systems within the WaSH sector and their economic life cycles also contributes to the limited flow of loans to the WaSH sector (OECD, 2019a).

2.2 Blended finance: A new approach to attracting commercial finance into the WaSH sector

The briefing of ‘blended finance’ is given in section 1.5 and the OECD definition in section 1.8. The recent OECD (2019) publication on “Making Blended Finance Work for Water and Sanitation: UNLOCKING COMMERCIAL FINANCE FOR SDG 6”, provides an in-depth insight on how development actors in WaSH sectors can take advantage of scarce domestic financial resources and de-risk the sector through blending of domestically available commercial finance with concessional and public funds (OECD, 2019a).

2.2.1 Benefits of blending finances in WaSH sector

Blending of repayable finance with public funds offers business advantages to both the borrower-side (demand side) and lender-side (supply side) as explained below:

      Borrower side: Offers affordable borrowing interest rates and improves repayment schedules by providing longer tenor and grace periods as compared to market-based loans (World Bank, 2017). Blending is an important tool for guaranteeing the security of private funding and stimulating the flow of private investment into the WaSH sector. It serves as a tool to prove the commercial viability of the service providers, and thus addresses the denial of credit loans from lenders due to creditworthiness (World Bank, 2017).

       Lender side: Reduces the risk perception of lenders to the WaSH sector through improved risk management strategies and due diligence of donors or international development institutions (World Bank, 2017).

In addition to these two benefits, blending of concessions and domestic loans decreases foreign exchange risks and ultimately reduces the borrowing cost (World Bank, 2017). For instance, a loan blended of 80% concessional and 20% domestic commercial loans has only 80% foreign exchange risks instead of 100% from a loan (World Bank, 2017).

2.3 Blended finances in Tanzania

Blending of finances is a new experience in Tanzania’s WaSH sector. The resources allocations in the sector have typically come from three sources: local treasury resources; external loans; and grants and internal revenues (URT, Ministry of Water, 2020). In 2014, the German Development Bank (KfW) and the Ministry of Water agreed to establish an ‘Investment Financing Facility (IFF)’ aimed at facilitating ‘Urban Water Supply and Sanitation Authorities (UWSSAs)’ to access private finance from local banks through providing output-based aid (OBA) and technical assistance to lenders and borrowers (IFF, 2021). Figure 3 below shows the setup of this ‘Investment Financing Facility (IFF)’. Despite the progressive changes initiated through this facility such as the improved quality of loan applications and an increase of local banks interest in lending to the sector, the bureaucracy from the imposed conditions of the Ministry of Finances to block the approval of commercial loans reduced the interest of banks to lend into the UWSSAs (USAID, 2020). The credit assessments conducted by the banks do not accurately reflect the specific business setup of the WaSH sector and are more similar to pure commercial lending (USAID, 2020). USAID (2020) suggested that the sector service providers should request technical assistance to train the non-WaSH experts in the domestic financial institutions to establish an understanding of the sector and improve their financial products that better-suit WaSH business strategies specifically. Additionally, the project was only tailored for large UWSSAs, and therefore did not approach or assist small urban and rural service providers who are less commercially viable with potential to scale if provided with adequate technical support (USAID, 2020). This opens a space for an argument for the establishment of a nation-wide facility for ‘blended finance’ that will be more inclusive.

Figure 3: Schematic Overview of the Investment Financing Facility (IFF) Scheme in Tanzania (Adopted from USAID, 2020. Page 52).

2.4 Institutional service delivery management framework for WaSH in Tanzania

The delivery of water and sanitation services in Tanzania is legally authorised and politically bound to the country’s Ministry of Water. The ministry is responsible to oversee, lead, direct, and coordinate the management and supervision of all activities related to water and sanitation undertaken and assigned to different ministries, administrative bodies, and ministry structures (URT, Ministry of Water, 2020). On a management level, water and sanitation service delivery services are focused in two main groups, service delivery in ‘urban’ areas, and rural’ areas (URT, Ministry of Water, 2020).

UWSSA are responsible for water and sanitation service delivery in regional centres, district headquarters and township centres, whilst the Rural Water and Sanitation Agency (RUWASA) is responsible for the equivalent to rural areas (i.e., all areas outside of regional centres, district headquarters and township centres boundaries) (URT, Ministry of Water, 2020).  Principally, the entire sector budget for both UWSSA and RUWASA is controlled and accounted for by the Ministry of Water.

A. Urban Water and Sanitation Authorities (UWSA)

UWSA are composed of several semi-independent authorities for the delivery of water and sanitation services, agreed objectives and jurisdictions at regional, district and township headquarters (URT, Ministry of Water, 2020). Each UWSSA, led by boards and management teams, is responsible for the plans, budgets and implementation of WaSH interventions to achieve a set of agreed targets developed by the Ministry of Water (URT, Ministry of Water, 2020).  UWSA are followed up, monitored, supported and regulated by the Ministry of Water both directly and through an official Government Regulatory Authority the EWURA (Energy and Water Utilities Regulatory Authority). All authorities are constantly evaluated and regulated against their performance, efficiencies and effectiveness to their service provisions, cost recovery and sustainability (URT, Ministry of Water, 2020).

B. Rural Water Supply and Sanitation Agency (RUWASA)

RUWASA’s operations are a result of the recent reform in the sectoral management arrangement affected by the reform of the ‘Water Supply and Sanitation Act Na.5’ of 2019, with the aim to improve cost effective and sustainable water supply and sanitation services in rural areas (URT, Ministry of Water, 2020).

The RUWASA takes full supervisory implementation powers and service management of rural water and sanitation schemes which previously were by the Local Government Authorities (LGA) (URT, Ministry of Water, 2020). As opposed to the UWSSA service delivery system whereby each area (region, district, or township) receives a respective UWSSA, there is a single nationwide RUWASA for WaSH (URT, Ministry of Water, 2020). Community Based Water Supply Organizations (CBWSOs), formed under the supervisor of District RUWASA offices and LGA, are the main WaSH service outlets in respective rural areas (URT, Ministry of Water, 2020).

2.5 Status of WaSH service levels in Tanzania

The new JMP report which produces global and national WaSH data from 2015 to 2020 shows that Tanzania has displayed slow progresses towards universal access to WaSH services. A large disparity of access to services between rural and urban, and poor and rich classes, exists at alarming levels and therefore extends the challenges of the country efforts in ‘leaving no one behind’. As a result, 70% of Tanzania health budget is expended on avoidable WaSH-related diseases (UNICEF, 2021).

A. Status of Water Supply Service levels in Tanzania

Slow progress on accessing safe levels of drinking water can be observed by comparing data from 2015 and 2020 as indicated in Table 2 below. Currently, only 61% of Tanzania’s population have access to basic drinking water (progressing from 53% in 2015) (WHO/UNICEF, 2021). The national annual rate of change in accessing basic water services stands at +1.65%/year, while in rural areas it stands at +1.43%/year and +1.18%/year in urban areas (WHO/UNICEF, 2021). Disparities of access to basic water supply is higher between rural and urban places, with 45% in rural and 83% in urban (WHO/UNICEF, 2021).

Non-functional water points

Although Tanzania through government and donor funds has significantly improved its investment in water supply infrastructure coverage, the Tanzania Ministry of Water, through its Water Sector Status report-2015/2020 mentions that about 30.2% of 139 water points built in 2019 are non-functional. This is an increase from the previous World Bank (2019) estimate which stated that in 2015, around 29% of water points were non-functional, out of which 20% collapsed only after one year after construction. A study by Cronk and Bartram (2017) revealed that the functionality of water points functions steadily and continuously where there are “reliable funds available” for regular operation and maintenance of water points rather than responding to the breakdown of the whole system.

Non-Revenue Water (NRW)

NRW is a critical issue causing the stunting of water service delivery especially in urban areas. According to the Water Utilities Performance Review Reports produced by EWURA in 2018/2019, the NRW for all combined authorities stands at 30%, having increased by 2.2% from the previous year (EWURA, 2020). This is by far below the national tolerable NRW level of 25% (URT, Ministry of Water, 2020). NRW has impacts of reducing performance and growth of utilities and authorities, reducing efficiency of service delivery, and reducing affordability of the service (URT, Ministry of Water, 2020). The causes for high NRW ranges from poor management, financial, operational, and maintenance issues (URT, Ministry of Water, 2020).

Table 2: Status of water supply accessibility in rural and urban Tanzania between 2015 & 2020 (Adopted from JMP (2021).

Service levels

Rural 2015

Rural 2020

Urban 2015

Urban 2020

Total 2015

Total 2020

Surface

19.75%

19.35%

2.64%

2.67%

14.34%

13.48%

Unimproved

28.19%

21.22%

6.66%

2.19%

21.39%

14.52%

Limited

13.19%

13.98%

7.23%

6.34%

11.31%

11.29%

Improved

38.86%

45.45%

83.46%

88.79%

52.96%

60.72%

Safely managed

-

-

-

-

-

-

 

B. Status of Sanitation service levels in Tanzania

Less attention has been dedicated towards sanitation and ensuring the provision of safe and reasonable space and systems to safely isolate excreta from human contact. The estimates from the 2020 JMP report records that only 32% of the country has access to at least ‘improved’ sanitation services which are not shared among homes, whilst the majority (42.06%) have a ‘limited’ sanitation service level (WHO/UNICEF, 2021).

Since 2015, access to basic sanitation facilities has improved by only 6% - from 26% in 2015 to 32% in 2020 (WHO/UNICEF, 2021). The national annual change for basic access to sanitation is as low as +1.33%/year, with the rural annual change being +0.98%/year and +1.85%/year for urban areas (WHO/UNICEF, 2021). Further statistics of the country performance of access to sanitation facilities is displayed in Table 3 below.

Table 3: Status of sanitation access in rural and urban Tanzania between 2015 & 2020 (Adopted from JMP (2021).

Service levels

Rural 2015

Rural 2020

Urban 2015

Urban 2020

Total 2015

Total 2020

Open defecation

15.32%

16.07%

1.62%

1.38%

10.99%

10.89%

Unimproved

60.66%

54.70

23.64%

9.22%

48.96%

38.68%

Limited

4.64%

5.94

35.23%

42.06%

14.31%

18.66%

Improved

0.94%

1.54%

9.57%

12.58%

3.67%

5.43%

Safely managed

18.44%

21.75%

29.93%

34.75%

22.07%

26.33%

 

 

C. Status of Hygiene service levels in Tanzania

According to the Water Sector Development Program (WSDP), the sector’s hygiene target was to ensure access to improved sanitation and hygiene services and eradicate open defecation practices for both rural and urban places, reaching 75% of population (7.8 million households) by 2019 (URT/Ministry of Water, 2014). According to the 2020 JMP report, the country fell far short from achieving this set of targets even one year later after establishing the objective. The JMP national estimates state that the current access to basic hygiene facilities stands at 40% (as it is highlighted in Table 4 below), showing no progress from the baseline year (2015). The annual rate of change in basic access to facilities remains almost negligible for both urban and rural areas (WHO/UNICEF, 2021). 

Table 4: Status of access to hygiene facilities in rural and urban Tanzania, 2015 & 2020 (Adopted from JMP (2021).

Service levels

Rural 2015

Rural 2020

Urban 2015

Urban 2020

Total 2015

Total 2020

No facility

19.23

19.23

12.09

12.09

16.97

16.71

Limited

40.29

40.29

24.83

24.83

35.40

34.84

Basic

40.48

40.48

63.08

63.08

47.63

40.48

2.6 Trends of the financial investment gap in the Tanzania WaSH sector

The financial investments for the WaSH sector in Tanzania are guided by the WSDP, which was set to progress from 2006 to 2025, within 20-years with four implementation phases each of five years (World Bank, 2019). The WSDP was set with the main objective of improving the institutions for water services, integrated water resources management and improve access to water supply and sanitation services in urban and rural areas through improved infrastructural investment, capacity building to ensure efficient and sustainable development the systems that allows ease data management, monitoring and evaluation, and reporting of progress, thereby meeting the targets aspired by national macroeconomic policies such as the National Development Vision by 2025 (URT/Ministry of Water, 2014).  

Since its establishment, WSDP has filed for extensions of its plan due to failures in meeting its 5 years phase plans (URT, Ministry of Water, 2020). Amongst other factors, the 2014 WSDP report advises that the failure to meeting WSDP targets was attributed majorly by a lack of financial plans that were in line to meeting the of new infrastructure demanded by rapid population growth, and operational and maintenance costs (URT, Ministry of Water, 2020).  For example, the first phase of the WSDP (WSDP I) was originally set to operate from 2007 to 2012 at a projected cost of US$ 951 million, but after the 2010 Mid Term Review (MTR) of the programme, it was agreed for the program to be extended to 2014 with an additional financial requirement increasing from the original budget to US$ 1.4 billion in order to meet new revised targets (World Bank, 2018). Of these commitments, 26% (US$ 367 million) came from the government, 74% was obtained from development partners, and the private sector did not contribute (World Bank, 2018).

By 2014, most of WSDP I targets were not met, leading to an extension of one additional financial year of implementation to 2015 (URT, Ministry of Water, 2014). It was further agreed that the addition of one financial year from 2014 to 2015 did not meet the target and thus the program was once again extended to June 2016 and the financial commitment increased to US$ 1.63 billion, after which the WSDP was concluded (URT, Ministry of Water, 2020). By the end of the first phase, WSDP had spent US$ 1.42 billion, of which 42% came from basket financiers, 22.3% from the government, and 35% from earmarked financiers (URT, Ministry of Water, 2020).

Since the start of the second phase of the WSDP (WSDP II) in 2016, the sector has fallen short in financial resources to meet the annual requirements of the implementation needs. The 2020 Water Sector Status Report suggests that the sector would need a minimum of US$ 646.8 billion (TZA 1.5 trillion) annually (URT/Ministry of Water, 2014). Table 55 shows the trends of gap between the sector requirements and the actual annual budget allocations (Values given are in TZA billions).

Table 5: Tanzania annual WaSH Sector Financial plan (Adopted from (URT, Ministry of Water, 2020. Page 93).

 

2016/17

2017/18

2018/19

2019/20

2020/21

Total

Sector (WSDP II) Requirements

876.7

1938.6

2175.6

1437.0

10006.6

7434.4

Actual annual allocations

781.7

623.6

673.2

616.1

-

2694.6

Actual Audited spending

326.4

383.4

480.9

-

-

1190.7

 

Additionally, despite being the largest priority, the annual budget approval water and sanitation has shown inconsistency since the start of the WSDP II (See Table 6 below) (UTR, Ministry of Water, 2020).

Table 6: Annual approved budgets against WSDP II requirements (Adapted from URT, Ministry of Water, 2020. Page 94).

WSDP II plans vs actuals

2016/17

2017/18

2018/19

2019/20

2020/21

Annual approved budget against WSDP II

89%

32%

31%

43%

-

Approved Water resources management budget against WSDP II requirements.

72%

18%

7%

9%

-

Approved Water supply and sanitation budget against WSDP II requirements.

112%

38%

43%

61%

-

 

2.7 The existing Financial structure for the Water sector in Tanzania

The recent water sector reform resulting from by the passing of the Water Supply and Sanitation Act, 2019, Tanzania re-established a National Water Fund (NWF), which was initially developed under the Water Supply and Sanitation Act of 2009 and started operating in 2015 (URT, Ministry of Water, 2020).  NWF was established to discharge its function as the main water sector financial instrument for addressing the long-standing inadequate funding challenges for water and sanitation schemes in rural and urban Tanzania by providing alternative investment supports and guaranteeing steady financing to the implement agencies such as RUWASA, UWSSA, and CBWSO (URT, Ministry of Water, 2020). On the other hand, the users of WaSH services pay tariffs and connection fees to the service providers who are regulated by EWURA (URT/Ministry of Water, 2014). Currently, NWF collects funds through the tax imposed on the buying of fuel for vehicles, presently fixed at 50 Tanzanian shillings per litre (URT, Ministry of Water, 2020). Since its operation, NWF has realised some benefits of mobilising additional funds to the sector. For example, in 2016/2017, NWF raise a significant fund of up to 43% of total WSDP financing sources in that financial year from this vehicle fuel levy tax (URT, Ministry of Water, 2020).  Although the instrument holds a significant potential for raising finance for the sector, the established source of finance through tax imposed on fuel is not enough to meet the sectoral financial needs (URT, Ministry of Water, 2020). An innovative lending program through NWF is needed to lever private financing from domestic financial institutions. The Figure 4 below summarises the institutional arrangements for the sector’s financial flows.


Figure 4: The current water sector financial flow structure in Tanzania (Adopted from USAID, 2020. Pp 22).

Conclusion

The next chapter now describes the research methodology employed during the selection of research, data collection, case analysis, and limitations of the methodology, which come together to design a new idealised financial framework to enable full operation of Tanzania’s WaSH sector with financial sustainability.

 

CHAPTER 3: METHODOLOGY

In the effort to better understanding how ‘blended finances’ can promote the attainment of SDG 6 target 6.1 and 6.2, this research investigates multiple cases of experience of using blended finances to fund the WaSH sector.

This section is divided into several subsections such as description of the proposed methodology, graphical representation of the methodological steps research approach and strategy, data collection methods, data analysis and finally the validity and reliability of the research.

3.1 Proposed methodology

To achieve the objectives and research questions of this study, a descriptive approach to case study methodology was adopted as the best suitable methodology to explore the research topic. Case study research is defined as a qualitative method in which the researcher explores a case or multiple cases overtime through comprehensive and in-depth data gathering that involve many sources of information such as primary data or secondary data (Yin, 2003 cited in Rashid et al, 2019). The case study approach for this study has been chosen on the bases of its reputation to investigating and understanding complex issues facing the real world and has historically been used across many disciplines such as social sciences, education, business, law, health and can address varieties of research questions. Yin (1984) defined case study method as “an empirical inquiry that investigates a contemporary phenomenon within its real-life context; when the boundaries between phenomenon and context are not clearly evident; and in which multiple sources of evidence are used.

3.1.1 The rationale of descriptive approach Case Study

Descriptive approach is defined as “the one which is focused and detailed, whereby the known phenomenon and questions about the topic are sensibly studied, analysed and articulated to reveal any patterns, connections, and in relations of the existing theory in order to enhance its development and application (Mills et al, 2010). Mills et al, (2010) adds that the power of the descriptive case study lies in its potential promise of extracting crucial information for interpretations of data and developing a theory. This aligns well with the objectives of this study, which asks how blended finances help attain SDG 6.1 and 6.2. The study will extract information from the existing theories of blending finances from different cases, and finally produce a generalizable framework that can be replicated for Tanzania case. Blending of finance is not a new concept. Many examples of financial facilities for blending repayable finances exists in many countries around the world. A descriptive case study is suitable for this research as it only attempts to investigate the existing theories, in doing so it allow articulating that theory to generate new concepts, replication of the theory, and expand to inform, confirm and further re-shape it (Mills et al, 2010).

3.2 Graphical representation of the methodological steps

The flowchart (Figure 5) below describes the step-by-step activities that were taken in order to achieve the desired outcome of this research.

Figure 5: Case study research: Design and procedure (Adopted from Dooley, 2002, page 347).


3.3 Case study selection

Table7: Criteria for case study selection

 

Type of case selection strategy

Defining the case sampling

1

Convenience of access to qualitative data online

Both cases (Philippines and Kenya) were chosen based on the convenience to access data online, information-rich data, from credible sources and less effort and money.

2

Appropriateness of the case

The cases were select to fit both the aim of the research and respond to the set of questions. Both Philippines and Kenya cases have well documented resources for the experience on using blended finance to fund their WaSH sector.

3

Similarity across the cases to allow generalization of the results

The cases were chosen to reflect similarities along some cross-cutting variables such as rapid population growth, sectoral financial issues,

4

Diverse cases to ensure full representation

Cases were selected to reflect diverse variables in order to achieve a maximum variation among the dimensions of representation. For example, while Kenya case may exhibit similarities with Tanzania in terms of politics and culture to simply because they are neighbouring countries, Philippines on the other hands, represent a very diverse political and cultural set-up.


3.4 Research approach and strategy

Given the relevance of the research topic and its descriptive nature, using a qualitative method based on cross-case study between cases gave an opportunity to capture holistic and in-depth information into ‘blended finances’. The qualitative method is generally aimed at analysing a previously developed theory to further strengthen it replicability in another context (Yin, 1992). This aligns well with the research objective which is to analyse the previous theories of blended finances in Philippines and Kenya and develop a theory which fit in Tanzania context. Quantitative method on the other hands focusses more on testing hypotheses and statistical generalisations (Saša, 2013) and thus, does not necessarily lead to supporting the main objective of this study.

A multi-case study analysis was used to allow a more rigorous and comparative description for building a new framework (Ebneyamini and Sadeghi Moghadam 2018). Because of the constrained time and the global pandemic hit, secondary qualitative data was the most appropriate source to meet the demand of the dissertation. Additionally, secondary data are inexpensive as they are publicly available online, unlike primary data which require travelling to the filed areas, or conducting interviews online, and consume more time for data collection (Allen, 2017).

3.5 Data Collection

The information was primarily gathered from online secondary sources such as journals, google scholar, governments and international organizations websites, government sector reports. The primary criteria for searches were the use of keywords such as ‘Repayable finance’, ‘blended finances’, ‘domestic private finance’, ‘Creditworthiness’, ‘Market-based repayable finance’, ‘Public funds’, ‘water revolving fund’, and ‘water’, ‘sanitation’, ‘hygiene’, ‘water and sanitation’, ‘WASH’ and ‘water utilities’. Additionally, specific searches for data from case studies were conducted using the same key words and adding the case name or country name to generate information specific to the case.

The data generated from the searches were reduced by screening relevant titles, abstract and table of content to find the data related to the research topic. Those that showed relevance to the research topic were collected and stored into secure and safe data file (database) for further detailed analysis. Saša, (2013) advise that developing a database facilitate easy retrieval, systematic tracing and enhance the reliability of the collected information.

3.6 Data analysis

The analysis of the case study methodology remains less advanced, and thus requires a researcher to depend on their experience, innovation and creativity and the nature of literatures during presenting the generated evidence which could be in various forms or presentations (Tellis, 1997). Yin, (1994) said that data analysis comprises of “examining, categorising, tabulating, or otherwise recombing the evidence to address the initial propositions of a study”. Miles and Huberman (1994) define data reduction, data display and conclusion and verification as the phases case study data analysis. Marshall and Rossman (2006) also describes data analysis of case study research as the practice of putting together a structure, meaning and making sense of the messy and ambiguous collected data in search of general statement. Yin (2009) suggests “pattern matching, explanation building, logic models, and cross-case analysis”. This study combined the discourses of both Yin (1994) and Miles and Huberman (1994) and Marshall and Rossman (2006). 

In this study, the analysis was delt by summarising and tabulating the key variables of the enquiry by comparing the cases. By comparing the variables across the three cases, the key findings were used to inform and predict the outcomes used to modify the initial proposition (Tanzania WaSH sector financial framework).

3.7 Validity and Reliability

Case study design is highlighted as one of the research methods considered as less objective and lacks rigor. The lack of methodological guideline makes case study prone to falling short to the criteria are commonly used to assess the rigor of research which are validity and reliability (Campbell, 1975). Reliability is related to the consistency and the ability of the approach to reproduce the same results of repeated under the same conditions while validity is mainly a measure of accuracy of data (Fiona, 2021). Both reliability and validity dimensions are fundamental elements of verifying credibility of the case study and confirms that the case study cam be transferable and dependable (Ferreira, Andrade et al. 2020). Yin, an expert in case study design suggests that research should maximise the quality of research design by addressing four conditions (three validity conditions: construct validity, internal validity and external validity) and reliability (Yazan 2015). The research design for this study were based on the accepted guidance described in the third Edition of Case Study Design and Methods book by Yin Robert (2003). Table 8 below shows the steps taken in this research ensure reasonable steps to address threats to validity and reliability were taken into consideration.

 

Table 8: Addressing Reliability and validity in case study methodology. (Adopted from Yin, 1994).

Test

Case study method for addressing reliability and validity

Phase of research in which tactic happens

Construct validity

 

 

 

 

 

 

·  Use multiple sources of evidence enabled the author to cover extensive opinions and issues and assisted the triangulation of in-depth sources while enhancing the validity of the study (Gaya & Smith, 2016).

Use of multiple case studies (Philippines and Kenya) which tended to collect multiple perspectives on the blended financing mechanisms. Mills et al (2010) and Towgood et al, (2009) highlighted that the use of multiple cases is a more vigorous than using a single case study method.

·  Establishment of chain of evidence as suggested by Meyer (2001) Morse (2011) and Yin (2009, 2012) provided the linkage of key research questions to the data collected, data analysis, discussion of key findings, and the case study conclusion helped to deliver the valid evidence of the report.    

Data collection

 

Research design

 

 

Data analysis

 

 

Internal validity

·  As suggested by Yin (2009), this was addressed by building explanation and addressing any immerging rival explanations.

·  Triangulation of data sources (use of varieties of data from different sources).

Data analysis

Data collection

External validity

·  Use of a well-designed case study approach to ensure the replicability of the research design

·  Description of the reasons for the case study selection: The two case studies were selected considering the different socio-political set up of governance of the WaSH sector. Each of the cases offered different legal frameworks, sector management setup

·  Presentation of the context of each case

Research design

Data presentation

Reliability

·  Use of case study protocol

·  Developing a case study database on the computer (folder file) helped to assemble, handle, and manage correct and high-quality data. Files for each case study (Tanzania, Philippines and Kenya) were stored in a separate file for easy analysis. Key references were stored in Endnote for simplified report writing process.

·  Data were collected from the reliable sources such official websites of the international institutions working in the area of WaSH and government website.

Data collection

Data collection

 

Data collection

The following chapter offers the discussion of the case analysis of the key issues facing financial investments in Tanzania WaSH sector, followed by the discussion of the key lessons learned from Philippines and Kenya case studies presenting how their financial framework for blending finances helped to address the limitations of financial investments in WaSH sector.

CHAPTER 4: ANALYSIS OF CASE STUDY/RESULTS

This chapter discusses the analysis of innovative financing mechanisms for ‘blended finance’ from two main case studies (Philippines and Kenya). As suggested by Kohlbacher, (2005), in this chapter, documents are systematically analysed using both descriptions and tabulations method to organise and synthesize information in order to uncover patterns across the cases and generate detailed evidence. The goals and outcomes of this analysis is to describe the cases studied and draw the main components that will be used to generalise the new idealised financial framework for attracting blended finances for WaSH sector in Tanzania.

This chapter is essential for responding to the second and third objective of this research. The first part of this chapter identifies the key financial investment issues facing the Tanzania WaSH sector which consequently affects the country’s vision towards attaining SDG 6.1 and 6.2. The second part discusses the key lessons of how Philippines Water Revolving Funds addressed the key sectoral financial issues. Third part discusses how the Kenyan Creditworthiness Index is helping to revolve the sectoral financial issues. At the end of this chapter, the diagram for the key components for improving the financial investments that attract blended finances is given.

4.1 Key sectoral issues affecting the financial investments into the Tanzania WaSH sector

Further to the sectoral issues given in the literature review chapter, this section presents the key sectoral financial issues related to WaSH investments in Tanzania. The literatures were carefully scrutinised to find the key issues facing the sector investments in Tanzania. The data are tabulated to develop clarity and easy to read format as presented in Table 9. The detailed descriptions of Tanzania WaSH sector have been covered in Chapter 2. 

Table 9: Key issues affecting the Tanzania WaSH sector financial investment scalability

 

WaSH sectoral issue

Tanzania WaSH sector situation

Mechanism of coping/what improvements are needed

 

 

 

Limited capital investments and inability of the utilities to meet operation and maintenance costs

·   Annual US$ 1.2 billion is required to realise the sector vision of universal access to water and sanitation by 2030, but only US$ 885 million is available annually (USAID, 2020).

·   The budget allocation for Water and Sanitation accounts for only 2% of the total national budget and 0.5% of the national GDP (UNICEF Tanzania, 2020).

·   In 2005, Tanzania established a National Water Investment Fund (NWIF) which came into operation since 2015 with the objective of mobilising finances for water supply and sanitation service (URT, Ministry of Water, 2020).

·   Currently, the only source of fund for NWIF is tax collected through the imposed charges on buying every litre of fuel (URT, Ministry of Water, 2020).

 

 

 

 

Dependence on external grants

·   An average of 35% of the total Water sectoral budget each year come external funding, especially bilateral and multilateral donors (USAID, 2020). Tanzania stood fourth as the top Africa recipient of ODA for WaSH sector in 2017, from OECD countries, receiving about US$ 316 million, commitments (OECD, 2019b).

·   Although the government established the National Water Fund to cope with the unpredictable foreign funds, the government investment in WaSH in 2019/20 has declined by 10.5% and 16.6% respectively between FY 2017/18 and 2018/19 (UNICEF Tanzania, 2020).

 

 

Lack of regulatory framework to support commercial borrowing

·   USAID (2020) report stated that private institutions are not satisfactory of the current regulatory framework to addressing the sector investment risks, instead the current regulation framework discourages private financial institutions to extend their investment into the sector.

·   The new Water and sanitation Act still does not provide clear guidance for private investors in WaSH sector.

 

 

 

 

Unprofitable investment due to poor returns

·   Water utilities are run as a free social service and are highly politicised (USAID, 2020). Often, water utilities serve the interests of politician by charging very low tariffs in favour to secure political positions and thus significantly affecting pricing and financial returns (USAID, 2020).

·   Utilities are faced by high non-water revenue, with a national average of 30.2%, well beyond a national target of 25% (URT, Ministry of Water, 2020).

·   Clear regulations for tariff setting are needed.

·   Technical assistance is needed to assist utilities to develop an understanding of the sector as a business sector.

 

 

 

High interest rates that do not fit the sector nature of business.

·   The average lending rates of private bank in Tanzania ranges between 15 and 16% (Bank of Tanzania, 2019).

·   No existing financial and regulatory framework for lowering borrowing costs from commercial lenders in Tanzania.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Loan tenor limitations

·   Although some banks prefer not to publicly announce the tenor period for loans, some banks such as National Microfinance Bank (NMB) NMB stated that it is willing to provide a maximum of 5 years tenor time for cooperate loans with a grace period of only up to 12 months (NMB Bank, 2021). Additionally, the institution borrowing must demonstrate the capacity to provide up to 25% of the total capital investment (NMB Bank, 2021).

·     Few Banks, such as Tanzania Investment Bank (TIB) has formulated separate loan framework to complement the government vision in investing in infrastructure, including WaSH infrastructure. Their offer provides loan tenor up to 20 years, including grace period during project implementation (TIB, 2021).

·   The recent water sector report identifies repayable finances and Public-Private partnership as the alternative financial source for the sector, however a detailed plan for attracting private lenders need to be developed (URT, Ministry of Water, 2020).

·     Technical assistance is needed to familiarise private banks with the special needs of WaSH sector to improve their loan packages.

Domestic private financial institutions lack experience in lending to the WaSH sector

·   Lack of financial documentations by the water authorities to allow private financial institutions to evaluate the financial performances thus lead to lack of trustworthy. It’s a strong requirement for private banks to have a clean financial performance and must be demonstrated through financial statements of the previous transactions.

·   EWURA is mandated to regulate the performance of the WaSH service providers, their report focuses mainly on the overall general performance ranking for utilities and not the potential of the utilities to attract private loans (USAID, 2020).

 

WSPs lack experience to borrow from domestic private financial institutions

·   WSPs (utilities) still lack the necessary technical and financial skillset to professionally run water utilities (USAID, 2020). The technical support programmes for public WaSH authorities are often underfunded, relying solely on foreign assistances to support programmes (USAID, 2020).

·   commercial altitude and business development skills is needed for WSPs staff to familiarise with the lending procedures and improve their potential to reach commercial viability (USAID, 2020).

WSPs lacks creditworthiness

·   There is lack of strong, independent credit evaluator for the Water and sanitation authorities in Tanzania, which lead to poor financial transparency and consequently lack of creditworthiness.

·   Currently, UWURA provides general performance review of water utilities by ranking them using performance in service coverage, water supply service hours, metering ratio, staff productivity, non-revenue hours and their general financial performance (EWURA, 2020).

4.2 The Philippines Water Revolving Fund (PWRF).

This section summarises the key lessons of the Philippines Water revolving Fund (PWRF) helped the Philippines WaSH sector overcome the key issues that limited the scalability of financial investments into the sector.

4.2.1 Background of PWRF

In 1990s, Philippines realized that the reliance on the traditional financial sources possessed significant constrains for development of water and sanitation sector (World Bank, 2016). Such constraints were characterised by insignificant funds to cover the infrastructural investments and operation and maintenance, and thus the government generated attention to mobilizing domestic private commercial finances into the sector through innovative financial arrangements (World Bank, 2015). In 2004, Philippines enacted an Executive Order 279 to modify their financial policies for local WaSH service suppliers (Local Government Unit and Water Districts) by categorising them corresponding to their creditworthiness (World Bank, 2016). Those that qualified according to a set of standards for creditworthiness where granted a permission to borrow from market-based domestic finances and shift away from depending on the public funds (Asia Development Bank, 2013). However, this reform generated no significant results to the sector investment because majority of the domestic private banks in Philippines either had no experience of lending investments into the WaSH sector or distrusted the sector, and saw the WaSH service providers as politically corrupted, weak, financially inefficient and unable to repay back any potential loans (Asia Development Bank, 2013).

Additionally, the WaSH service providers requested for longer-term tenor loans (15-20 years) that matched their cost recovery rate while the lenders sticked to their tenor systems (7-10 years) that matched their investment objectives (World Bank/WSP, 2015). To address this constraint, in 2008, the Government of Philippines collaborated with Japan Bank for International Cooperation (JBIC) (currently, Japan International Cooperation Agency or JICA) and USAID to set up the PWRF, a multifaceted financial facility that seeks to leverage domestic private finances. PWRF were created to meet three main objectives; a) use inadequate available public funds to pull-up private finance into WaSH sector, b) To lobby private financers to invest into WaSH sector on affordable terms that can be met by local service providers c) To establish a trust fund that can resolve to finance other projects. The formation of PWRF was complimented by the establishment of two other components: (1) Credit rating system which was developed earlier in 2004 with the aim of providing financial credibility of WSPs to the investors (2) provision of technical assistance to the lenders with no/little experience of lending into WaSH sector and help WSPs improve their internal operations and creditworthiness for qualifying for commercial loans (Alma, 2009).

4.2.2 Financial Structure and Approach to Blended Finance

The financial structure and approach of the PWRF was characterised by the following main features:

  • The PWRF lends and blend the loans from two sources: (1). Official Development Assistance (ODA) funding borrowed from JBIC (2). Funding from private domestic financial institutions (USAID, 2008). The two sources provided financing in the ratio of 50-75% form DBP/JBIC loan and 25-50% from private financing institution (PFI) (World Bank, 2016).

·       Two guaranteeing systems were developed to reduce liquidity risks of the investment and enhance the lenders’ assurance of their funding (World Bank, 2016). First guarantee was provided by the Department of Finance (government sovereign), which provides a stand-by credit-line for liquidity risks associated with ODA finances from JICA (World Bank, 2016). The second guarantee was offered by the Local Government Unit Guarantee Cooperation (LGUGC), a third-party guarantor to guarantee LGU (WSPs) access loans and bonds (World Bank, 2016). LGUGC guarantee 85% of LGU loan defaults by intercepting the tax revenue from the central government offered to the LGU leaving only 15% of PFI’s risk exposure (Alma, 2009). 50% of the LGUGC’s exposure is also guaranteed by the USAID Development Credit Authority (World Bank, 2016). Additionally, the PWRF holds stand credit-line option for the LGUCG to guarantee liquidity risks of PFI funding (Worl Bank, 2016).

Figure 6: Philippine Water Revolving Fund (PWRF): Financial Structure (Adopted from World Bank, 2016).


4.2.3. Influence of PWRF blending system on addressing WaSH sectoral investment issues.

Table 10 below summarizes how PWRF helped the Philippines address the key WaSH sector investment issues.

Table 10: How Philippines addressed the key sectoral investment issues using the PWRF

WaSH sectoral issue

Philippines WaSH sector situation before PWRF

Innovation resolved the issue

 

 

Limited capital investments and inability of the utilities to meet operation and maintenance costs

 

·   Before the PWRF, Philippines depended on insufficient traditional financing sources, mainly a combination of government revenues, foreign funds and tariffs collected from service users (World Bank, 2016).

·   Establishment of revolving fund which encouraged the recirculation of loan to develop other projects (World Bank, 2016).

 

 

 

Dependence on external grants

·   For many years before the enactment of the Executive Order, 279, Philippines overwhelmingly depended on overseas’ financial contributions to water sector (Smets and Susanna.2015).

·   The 2004 Executive Order 279 mandated creditworthy local WSPs to tap into market-based financing sources and shift from overdependence on public funds (Smets and Susanna.2015).

 

Lack of regulatory framework to support commercial borrowing

 

·   Before the 2004 policy reform for the WaSH sector, Philippines was fragmented by poor institutional arrangement that discouraged the flow of commercial finances into the sector (Alma, 2009).

·   Regulatory and institutional strengthening through enactment of Executive Order (EO) 279 was issued in 2004 delegating creditworthy WSPs to move from government funds to private finances (World Bank, 2016).

 

 

Unprofitable investment due to poor returns

·   Until very recent, provision of water related service was perceived as a free service that citizens deserved without any contribution (Asia Development Bank, 2013).

·   A massive institutional and policy reform backed by the enactment of the Executive Order 279 in 2004 supported running of water utilities as business rather than a free social service (World Bank, 2016).

 

 

High interest rates that do not fit the sector nature of business

·   The interest rate for pure commercial finances in Philippines is 12% (USAID, [No date]).

·   Blending of ODA component with domestic commercial finances lowered the interest rate by at least 1-2%. Currently, the interest rate for commercial lending in Philippine’s water sector ranged from 6% to 10.5% (Miha, 2019).

 

 

Loan tenor limitations

·   PFIs in Philippines lends for 7 - 10-years, while utilities require 15 - 20-years tenor (Alma, 2009).

·   Blending nature of the PWRF resulted into longer grace period (up to 10 years), longer tenor up to 20 years, with an option for private lenders to terminate their loan agreement and get their repayment early (Alma, 2009).

 

 

Domestic private financial institutions lack experience in lending to the WaSH sector

·   Lack of Information and Commercial Banks perceptions of the WaSH sector as the high risk amplified the perceived risks of water utilities in Philippines (Jeremias, 2011).

·   Additional technical support/assistance provided by USAID to the commercial banks.

 

 

 

WSPs lack experience to borrow from domestic private financial institutions

·   Utility leaders from Water Districts and LGUs did not have sound business plans to convince PFIs for lending (Jeremias, 2011).

·   USAID provided an additional technical assistance worth of US$ 6.8 million to both DBP, commercial banks and service providers (Water and Sanitation for All, 2020).

 

 

 

 

 

WSPs lacks creditworthiness

Before the establishment of credit rating system, the challenge of commercial investments in WaSH sector was the lack of credible way of convincing private lenders to extend their credit to the sector (Lawrence et al, 2020). Water utilities were operating on a high non-revenue water (average of 39%), and thus large volume of water was left unbilled (Lawrence et al, 2020).

·   In 2004, the government introduced credit rating scales for Water Districts and LGU conducted by an independent credit rating agency, CRISIL, an Indian-based rating agency (USAID, 2013).

·   Both USAID and JICA provided technical assistance to improve WSP creditworthy (Water and Sanitation for All, 2020)

 

 

4.3 The Kenyan creditworthiness Index of WaSH Service Providers

This subsection presents the key lessons drawn from the Kenyan Water Service Provider Creditworthiness Index.

4.3.1 Background of Credit rating in Kenya

In order to achieve the goal of the Kenyan 2030 vision for water and sanitation under the increasingly competitive and difficultly available public funds to balance with the investment needs for the sector and the ever-fast-growing population, the Kenyan Water Services Regulatory Board (WASREB) collaborated with the  Water and Sanitation Program (WSP) of the World Bank to facilitate the development of ‘shadow credit ratings’ of 43 Water Services Providers in Kenya (World Bank/WSP and WASREB, 2015a). The exercise aimed at facilitating private commercial lending into WaSH sector by identifying and enhancing the creditworthiness of Water Service Providers that operated in a full cost recovery under effective regulatory climate thereby providing the best credit analysis for private financiers and enhance the bankability of WaSH sector (especially private banks) (World Bank/WSP, 2015a).  The results from the shadow credit rating were published in the report titled “Financing Urban Water Services in Kenya: Utility Shadow Credit Ratings” (World Bank/WSP, 20111). The report was shared with potential private financiers, and this was a milestone for water sector in Kenya to accessing commercial finances (World Bank/WSP and WASREB, 2015b). Despite that the report from the shadow credit rating inspired the interest of private lenders and other development partners into investing to the sector, the report could not be updated annually for periodic updates of new creditworthy Water Service Providers due to complexities, difficulties and costs of manual data collection and analysis (Bender, 2017). To resolve the issue, WASREB and WSP developed an automated Creditworthiness Index for the WSPs (Bender, Kevin. 2017).

4.3.2 Structure of a Commercial Finance Transaction in the Kenya Water Sector

The Figure 7 depicts the structure of the processes in which the WSPs in Kenya can access loans for private finances using their credit history (creditworthiness) without using assets as the guarantee. The WASREB is a water industry regulator, oversees the overall WSP performances and approves tariff rates (World Bank/WSP and WASREB, 2015a). Based on the creditworthiness annual report, WASREB licence which WSP can borrow from private loans in order to ensure that they are commercially viable and can potentially repay the loan (World Bank/WSP and WASREB, 2015c). Often the commercial banks require utilities to contribute 20% as the equity investment, while the bank contributes 80% of the total capital investments (Bender, 2017). Output-Based Aid (OBA) programme through the World Bank provides 50% subsidies for commercial loans to WSP projects that targets inclusiveness of poor households (Bender, 2017). The USAID’S Development Credit Authority (DCA) offers a 50% partial credit-line guarantee cover for lending risks in water projects (World Bank/WSP and WASREB, 2015a).

Figure 7: Structure of a Commercial Finance processes in the Kenya Water Sector (Adapted from Advani and Darche, 2011, cited in Bender, 2017, p. 35).


4.3.4 Influence of PWRF blending system on addressing WaSH sectoral investment issues.

Table 11 below summarizes how Kenya’s creditworthiness Index helps the WaSH sector respond to addressing the sector investment issues.

Table 11: How is Kenya addressed the key sectoral investment issues using the Creditworthiness Index.

Sectoral Constraint

Kenya WaSH sector situation before the creditworthiness Index

How Creditworthiness Index is solving the issue

 

 

 

Limited capital investments and inability of the utilities to meet operation and maintenance costs

·  According to the Kenya Ministry’s Sector Investment Plan, annual investment in the sector has averaged Kenyan Shillings (Kshs) 20 billion (US$ 184.2 Millions) against Kshs 300 billion (US$ 2.76 billion) needed (WSP and WASREB, 2015 A).

·  In 2011, The government of Kenya through its regulatory body for water service providers (WASREB) set a shadow credit rating system to facilitate commercial lending into WSP (WSP and WASREB, 2011). In 2015, the shadow credit rating system was further reformed into the creditworthiness index to provide cheap and automated financial information (WSP and WASREB, 2015 A).

 

 

Dependence on external grants

·  Approximately, over 50% of the Kenyan water sector budget comes from foreign development partners. In 2013/2014, out of KShs 24 billion (US$ 221 Million), KShs 13.9 billion (US$ 128 million) came from foreign donors (World Bank/WSP and WASREB, 2015b)

·  As of 2018, creditworthiness Index has facilitated about 50 transactions from private local lenders into the water sector (World Bank, 2018). Over US$ 25 million of private capital has been mobilized to finance new WaSH projects in Kenya (World Bank 2018)

 

 

Lack of regulatory framework to support commercial borrowing

 

·  Before the 2002 Water Act, service providers did not have opportunity to borrow from private institutions.

·  In 2002, the Kenyan government established an ambitious regulatory reform for the WaSH sector through enactment of Water Act of 2002. The Water Act among other things, mandated the WSPs as the private entities that are independent, autonomous, and run professionally as business and can source finances from private investors (World Bank/WSP and WASREB, 2015b).

 

Unprofitable investment due to poor returns

· Water is considered a social good that everybody should have access to freely, and therefore it generates very little financial return (World Bank/WSP and WASREB, 2015b).

·  After its establishment, the WASREB established guidelines for tariff settings in order to limit the political influence of the price of WaSH services (World Bank/WSP and WASREB, 2015b).

High interest rates that do not fit the sector nature of business

·  Commercial lending is usually expensive with higher interests and hard to obtain in water sector due to low commercial viability of the sector (World Bank/WSP and WASREB, 2015b).

·  Creditworthiness increased the business conversation between lenders and borrowers, which provided an opportunity for negotiation of loan interest with regards to capital investment (World Bank/WSP and WASREB, 2015c).

 

Loan tenor limitations

·  The commercial banks in Kenya provides lending periods not more than 7 years long while the economic life of WaSH asset is much longer than the preferred tenor time (World Bank/WSP and WASREB, 2015b).

 

The guaranteeing system provided by the USAID provided the confidence of the investment and reduced the lending risks, consequently the private lenders extended the loan tenor and reduced interest rate (Bender, 2017).

 

 

Domestic private financial institutions lack experience in lending to the WaSH sector

·  Conventionally, due to lack of financial arrangement of the sector, private lenders have categorised the WaSH sector in Kenya as high-risk area of investment, with complex financing settings (World Bank/WSP and WASREB, 2015a).

 

·  The Creditworthiness Index Report provided annually by the WASREB has offered an insight to private lenders on the WSP financial performance and credit ratings, allowing private banks to evaluate the investment risks of the WSPs (World Bank/WSP and WASREB, 2015a).

 

 

 

 

 

WSPs lack experience to borrow from domestic private financial institutions

·  The WSPs lacks experience of borrowing from private lenders because of the limited flow of commercial finances into the sector and therefore are often unfamiliar with borrowing criteria of private financers (World Bank/WSP and WASREB, 2015a).

·  The World Bank through its Global Partnership on Output Based Aid (GPOBA) provides technical assistance to both lenders and borrowers involved in commercial lending of the designated project (World Bank/WSP and WASREB, 2015a).

 

 

WSPs lacks creditworthiness

·  Private financiers are reluctant to lend to water sectors because of high liquidity risks World Bank/WSP and WASREB, 2015c).

·  Creditworthiness Index allows the rated WSP to identify the areas of weakness that reduces their credit scores and establish actions of improvement and are allowed to apply for foreign technical assistance under regulations (World Bank/WSP and WASREB, 2015b).

 

4.4 Summary of five main components for attracting blended finances in Tanzania WaSH sector

A close look at Table 11 and Table 12 shows that there are five main components for attracting blended finances which includes the revolving fund, reform of legal and regulatory framework that supports blended finance, technical assistance, guaranteeing system and credit rating system. Figure 8 below summarise the five components. Figure 9 shows the components that are applied in Philippines and Kenya case. Chapter 4 of this research provided a discussion of the five identified components in great details.

Figure 8: Summary of five components to address the key sectoral issues while attracting domestic repayable finances for blended finance in WaSH sector.

 

 

Figure 9: Summary of application of the 5 key components between Philippines and Kenya.

The next chapter will discuss the key points of discussion and recommendations for attracting blended finances and improving the financial framework of the sector.


CHAPTER 5: DISCUSSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS

The case study design brings a novel understanding into blended financing for the WaSH sector, which allows exploration of a variety of financial mechanisms in addressing the key financial barriers for the WaSH sector, and more specifically how blending of finances can play its part in fulfilling SDG 6.1 and 6.2. Using a descriptive case study approach, this research sought to investigate the Philippines and Kenya case study on how they are using blended finances to address their key investment gaps in their respective WaSH sectors, and using their experiences, to support inspiration and creation of the framework that will potentially address the investment deficit for Tanzania’s WaSH sector through blending. The aspired outcome of this research is to inform the Tanzania WaSH sector decision makers about the role of blending private and public finances on fulfilling the large financial gap towards attainment of SDG 6.1 and 6.2. Chapter 4 generated the key five components of blending experience from Philippines and Kenya, this chapter now intends to expand the discussion of these components in greater detail. The first section of this chapter discusses the five key components of blended finances presented in Figure 8 (from Chapter 4). The second section discusses key recommendations, the third section expands upon the main limitations of this study, and the fourth section gives recommendations towards potential areas of future study.

5.1 Discussion of the five key components of blending and their application to Tanzania’s context.

Broadly, the findings from the cases indicate that the WaSH sectors in Philippines, Kenya, and Tanzania shared the common WaSH sector constraints preventing the flow of domestic private investments. Table 9, Table 10, and Table 11 in chapter 4 provide a tabulated summary of the investment issues and how they are addressed between the countries of study. From the analysis (chapter 4), five key components were derived from the cases for improving the Tanzania WaSH sector through financial investment from blended finances. These are discussed in the five respective subsections below.

Component 1: Make the Tanzania National Water Fund a revolving fund: The Philippines experience of ‘revolving principal’ allowed the re-circulation of loans between the fund and borrowers where the repayments from the borrowers were reused to finance new borrowers or new projects before the period of principal repayments to the private financiers (World Bank, 2016). In the Kenyan case, the revolving fund did not seem to be viable because WSPs are more independent and can directly apply for funding from private financial institutions under the licence of WASREB and therefore blending exists at the utility level. While Tanzania has already set up a national-wide financial facility (NWF) for the sector, it is easy to establish blending at national level. The revolving nature of the loan will, in the longer term, generate a more stable, sustainable, and viable finance solution for the sector through the accumulation of returns from the fund resources which are used multiple times compared to an average credit line (Wasser et al, 2020). The funding accumulated through the returns from the revolving funds can be used as a guarantee to new loans or used as collateral insurance to the other potential financiers (EPA, 2021). Revolving funds allow for diversification of investment risks through spreading of finances among a portfolio of borrowers (several projects) (Wasser et al, 2020). Building a stable revolving fund in Tanzania will mainly be challenged by the sector’s inability to raise capital investments for both public and private financial resources. Building a revolving fund model will particularly require building trust with private financial institutions, a strong political drive, strengthening regulations for blending, and supply of sufficient information to improve communication with potential financiers.

Component 2: Legal and regulatory framework reform: For a shift from dependence on external donors to a more domestically-financed investment portfolio into the Tanzania WaSH sector, will desire a full legal and regulatory policy needed to support the blending of finances and offer guidance for a smoother transition. The two cases (Philippines and Kenya) show that the blending process was preceded by a strong legal and regulatory reform. An example of Philippines’ 2004 ‘279 Executive Order’ and Kenya’s 2002 ‘Water Act’ has been discussed earlier in this report. In addition to this, the government of Kenya in collaboration with the World Bank’s Water and Sanitation Program (WSP) developed toolkits for county governments, WSPs and commercial lenders, to provide guidance and insights of how the commercial lending sector works in Kenya and how it facilitates borrowing and lending (World Bank/WSP and WASREB, 2015c). The review of Tanzania case literatures identified that the current policy framework specifically does not give clear guidance of domestic private investment into the Tanzania WaSH sector. Developing clear policies, regulations, and draft toolkits for lenders and borrowers will improve the blending experience in Tanzania’s WaSH sector. As Tanzania is moving to the implementation of WSPD III, the incorporation of new reformed regulations that encourages the use of ‘blended finances’ could play its part in mobilizing additional resources to reach the WaSH targets.

Component 3: Establishment of a guaranteeing system: As described in Table 9, addressing collateral risks for private finances in Tanzania’s WaSH sector is one of the key aspects needed to improve private investments in WaSH. The confidence of private financiers to invest in any business is confidence of guaranteeing returns on their investment. Very recently (May 2021), OECD has produced a working paper (Titled: The Role of Guarantees in Blended Finance) discussing the role of guarantees as a functional blended finance tool (Garbacz et al, 2021). The lesson from Philippines and Kenya shows that having an arrangement for reducing and diversifying risk exposure of the commercial lenders attracts their investments into the sector. During the analysis, it was identified that USAID – through the Development Credit Authority (DCA), was observed as common guarantor for both Kenya and Philippines, providing a 50% partial credit guarantee to the loan borrowed from domestic funds. Guarantee/insurance will provide a liquidity cover in case there is a default of repayment from the WSPs, or if the lenders require early repayment of their investments (World Bank, 2016). Many global development agencies, Multilateral Development Banks and Development Finance Institutions such as USAID-DCA and the UK’s Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office (FCDO), Multilateral Investment Fund, Green Climate Fund, German Ministry of Economic Co-operation and Development (BMZ), the Dutch Good Growth Fund, European Commission and World Bank Group are encouraging ‘blended finances’ by providing guarantees to de-risk development sectors in developing countries (Convergence, 2018). The role of guarantees in attracting ‘blended finance’ is notable with a high mobilisation ratio (OECD, 2020). Globally, risk guarantee is present in about 21% of all blended finance transactions (OECD, 2020). A study by the Climate Policy Initiative found that despite the risk guarantee standing for only about 5% of the global financial commitments, it generated 45% of the finances mobilised from private sector in their portfolio (Convergence, 2018). A similar study by OECD-DAC surveys between 2012 and 2015 found that guarantees represented 44% of the total mobilization of the private sector (OECD, 2018b). Providing guarantees is particularly relevant to Tanzania’s WaSH sector which is currently exposed to both political, regulatory and liquidity risks; perceived as very high risk by private sectors who demand for compensated risk returns (guarantee). If combined with other instruments within its enabling environment (revolving fund, technical assistance, regulations, and credit rating system), the guaranteeing system will help catalyse the flow of private finances and allow for the provision of WaSH services to the unserved population (OECD, 2020).

Component 4: Establishment of a credit rating system (creditworthiness): Water and sanitation services rated by an independent and trusted credit rating institution provides a more robust benchmark of information required by private financers as a measure of proof of maturity of the utility (OECD, 2020). Credit ratings give a formal opinion from an independent and specialised institution on the ability and willingness of the potential borrower to repay the loan timely (World Bank/WSP and WASREB, 2015b). As identified earlier in this chapter, WaSH service providers in Tanzania are not credit evaluated and are not rated as per a standardised credit rating system. Instead, the water utilities regulator (EWURA) produces annual performance reports for all water utilities. Going forward, this can be incorporated into EWURA, ensuring reports of credit rating are credible and accessible to potential domestic investors. For the less creditworthy utilities, credit ratings give an opportunity for internal improvement towards better performing benchmarks and allows identification of areas that hinder them from qualifying to put responsive action in addressing their key indicators of failure (WSP, 2012). The Kenyan Creditworthiness Index looks at different indicators ranging from technical indicators (poverty rate, water supply and sanitation coverage, non-revenue water, staff per 1000 connections) to financial indicators (revenue, operational costs, cost recovery, liquidity & solvency indicators, grant dependency and billing efficiency) (World Bank/WSP and WASREB, 2015a). The further list of indicators and their weighing has been provided in ANNEX 3: KENYA CREDITWORTHINESS INDICATORS. Moving towards creditworthiness assessments will not only benefit WaSH utilities to access blended finances but also will support the improvement of their operational efficiency, financial management, and increase overall sector transparency (OECD, 2019a).

Component 5: Incorporation of technical assistance into the blending system: The capacity constraints of local private investors and utilities can potentially prevent financial flows to the WaSH sector if there is a lack of WaSH sector business knowledge and inability to assess the actual sector risks. TA is a commonly applied blended finance instrument used to de-risk the business uncertainties in the sector by developing its enabling environment (pre-investments), increasing the technical capacity of both lenders and borrowers, or by magnifying the impact of the investment through improving capacity and providing training for improving operation and maintenance, and improving the bankability of the project (Convergence, 2019). TA is usually complemented as a part of concessional (grants) funds by donor institutions (Convergence, 2018). Globally, nearly half (46%) of blended finance funds are supplemented with technical assistance, released to integrate business principles into the project as well as improving the operation of the specific project (Convergence, 2018). TA was found to be a common and an essential tool for both PWRF and Kenya’s creditworthiness index, providing capacity building for utilities. In this report, the Tanzania WaSH sector was identified to suffer a 30.2% non-revenue water rate, 30.2% non-functional water points, and difficulties in financial recovery of the investment and setting appropriate tariffs. Incorporation of TA is necessary to address operational knowledge gaps and improving the bankability of WaSH-related projects. Technical Assistance (TA) will help borrowers to gain insights to developing project proposals, improve their operational performance, cost-recovery and financial recording, increase their transparency to the lenders, increasing their creditworthiness, and ultimately attract commercial finances (OECD, 2019a). World Bank’s Water and Sanitation Program (WSP) has been supporting the Tanzania Water sector with TA since WSDP I (World Bank-a, 2018) and this can be incorporated into the new established national financial facility to achieve the level of bankability required by domestic commercial institutions. Although TA can be procured using public funds (tariffs), it can be expensive and my affect the level of affordability of service for less affluent service users. Alternatively, the sector can take advantage to lever the TA complemented to the concessional funds.

5.2 Sectoral investiment issues and their potential solutions to attract blended finance

Figure 10 shows some of the water sector investment issues with their potential solutions among the five identified components for attracting blended finance in Tanzania’s WaSH sector.

 

  

Figure 10:  Each rectangle represents the sectoral issues which can potentially be solved by each of the 5 main components of the ’idealised framework’ proposed by this research study in attracting ’blended finance’ to the WaSH sector in Tanzania.


5.3 Idealised framework for attracting blended finances to Tanzania’s WaSH sector

The diagram below is an ‘idealised framework’ of financial institutions, instruments and mechanisms to attract blended finance into the WaSH sector for Tanzania. The five components proposed by this research study have been adapted into Tanzania’s current WaSH sector, governmental, and financial institutions arrangement.

LEGENDS

Figure 11: Idealised framework for ‘blended finance’ into Tanzania’s WaSH sector

 

5.4 Recommendations

Based on the findings from this complete study and the relevant literature reviewed during this research, this section gives the recommendations needed to support the implementation of the ‘idealised financial framework’ for attracting blended finances.

  • The analysis of the cases from Philippines and Kenya, as well as the currently operating sector in Tanzania all recognise the role of appropriate policies in attracting blended finances to fulfil SDG 6.1 and 6.2 targets by 2030. Policy and legal frameworks for attracting blended finances are diverse among countries and more specific to each contextual country. Tanzania’s government needs to develop WaSH sector-specific legal and regulatory frameworks compatible to the specific sectoral needs and institutional arrangement. The policy will need to stimulate the interaction of donors, government institutions, service providers and potential lenders.
  • The Tanzania Ministry of Water is recommended to develop and produce WaSH accounts, inspired by the tool developed by the WHO called ‘TrackFin’, which provides a methodology in giving a snapshot of WASH-related financial flows for the WaSH sector in a comparable format using a software tool (WASH accounts production tool (WAPT)), aiding in supporting the collection, classification, analysis of WASH spending data and summarizing the financial gap and taking steps to actively fill these gaps using alternative financial sources (Water and Sanitation for All, 2021). Coupled together with a credit rating system, WaSH accounts will provide additional comprehensive financial evidence and transparency for developing the lenders’ confidence for the sector’s commercial viability.
  • The WaSH sector must maximize value from existing public funding before endorsing substantial investments from domestic markets. This will help the sector to first improve their expenditures of public funds while slowly transitioning the sectoral mindset into the changes in the proposed financial arrangement.

5.5 Research limitations

  • The findings presented in this research are limited to the available literature, government reports, official websites, and official fact sheets from officially recognised organizations and companies. There was inadequate access to the sensitive sectoral data related to Tanzania’s WaSH sector. Financial data for Tanzania’s WaSH sector were challenging to source due to the absence of a publicly available sector database. More specifically, financial spending for ‘sanitation’ is not clearly covered in sector reports and therefore even more difficult to review at this disaggregated level. Also, the sector reports did not provide specific data on the financial amounts currently generated through domestic private investments and therefore limiting the understanding of contributions from the private sector in financing for WaSH. Where possible, this was addressed by applying multiple search strategies as mentioned in the methodology chapter.
  • The relatively limited time for the MSc research was also a constraint to fulfil a sizeable and bounded aim within the time period provided within the degree term. All interesting and useful areas of future research were noted throughout this research process and have been presented in the following subsection (5.6) as a summary of future works which would strongly support the WaSH and development sector around the boundary of this specific research topic.
  • Despite of having many advantages, the descriptive case study design relies primarily on researchers’ experiences, their world view, values, and perspective and ability to interpret information and develop theory (Ben, 2013). This is limited to misinterpretations and personal biases that may be inherent in the available literature. Yin (2009) suggests that the lack of systematic procedures for case studies in one of the main issues of concern due to absences of methodological guidelines. This limitation was addressed by visiting multiple sources of data to support the interpretation and arguments. Additionally, class peers were invited to review and discuss this work, provide their different points of view and confirm missed knowledge or identify gaps that needed to be addressed to strengthen arguments.

5.6 Moving Forward and Suggestions for Further Research

Blended finance is a fresh idea for the Tanzania WaSH sector, and thus, more is needed to understand the complex financial and institutional arrangements of the sector and the potential for sourcing the finances in Tanzania. The following are suggestions for future research in blended finances for Tanzania:

  1. A more in-depth study of Tanzania’s readiness to mobilise blended finances. Attracting a range of financial investments requires foundational understanding of regulatory climate, governance and leadership structure, tariff arrangements, budgetary frameworks, and political commitments (Pories and Delmon, 2019). As the country is moving to implementing a new WSDP III and the use of blended finances are globally peaking (almost the market size is doubling each year), it is essential that wider research of the Tanzania WaSH sector readiness to attracting blended finances is conducted to generate a deeper and more accurate understanding.
  2. Allow for appropriate time to investigate the domestic financial institution perception of the WaSH sector investments to understand their willingness to lend into the Tanzania WaSH service providers. It was particularly difficult to get information related to the private investors’ perception and willingness to lend into Tanzania’s WaSH sector.
  3. The research objectives in this study can be replicated in other countries without experience of blending public finances and domestic private finances in order to gain further understanding of the role of ‘blended finances’ in the WaSH sector towards attainment of SDG target 6.1 and 6.2. Covid-19 has affected many southern economies, potentially jeopardising the efforts towards the attainment of SDG 6 by 2030. Expanding of potential sources for financing the sector in these countries is now necessary than ever before. Therefore, exploring the possibilities of blended finances will hopefully show a greening light towards the targets.
  4. There is a need for research into understanding the liabilities and debt burdens associated with blended finances in the WaSH sector across the world. There are general criticisms that blended finances could lead into increasing the debt burden in developing countries. Or ‘blended finances’ could be a political idiom endorsed by donor countries to reduce their aid commitments (0.7 Gross National Income, GNI) to developing countries under the umbrella of the term. To address these criticisms, a stronger research is needed to understand inherent interactions and implications to provide accurate answers to possible financial mechanism scenarios.

 

CHAPTER 6: CONCLUSION

In summary, this research fulfilled the aim of investigating how ‘blended finances’ can help mobilise additional financial resources for attaining SDG 6.1 and 6.2 targets in Tanzania’s WaSH sector by drawing success examples from the Philippines Water Revolving Funds and Kenyan WSPs creditworthiness Index. The relevant literature reviewed indicated that Tanzania is currently relying on traditional sources for funds for its WaSH sector and there exists a significant financial gap estimated at US$ 926.2 million annually to attain universal access to water and sanitation by 2030. Based on a descriptive case study design, this research study highlighted the importance of the WaSH sector to promptly review suggestions at reforming the WaSH sector in Tanzania and move from the dependence on external donor funds, towards ‘blended finances’ and taking advantage of domestic private financial resources. The case study analysis for Philippines and Kenya indicated several benefits of blending public funds and domestic public finances. It reduces the WaSH sector’s overdependence on already decreasing foreign aid, reduces domestic interest rates, and improves tenor times and grace periods. Additionally, the professionalism of the WaSH sector is further established, with more informed business planning and an ultimate operational performance increase of the overall WaSH sector in terms of coverage, quality, and sustainability.

The outcome of the case studies analysis suggested ‘five components of improvement’ needed for the Tanzania WaSH sector to mobilize additional financial resources through blending. The five components include: making the Tanzania National Water Fund a revolving fund; modifying the current regulatory framework and financial policies for ‘blended finances’; establishing a guaranteeing system; creating a credit rating system (creditworthiness); and incorporation of technical assistance/appraisal into the financial framework. These components were used to create and propose a financial framework of the operation and interaction between WaSH-related, financial, and governmental institutions, all underpinned to incorporate blended finances within the Tanzania WaSH sector.

The case studies were carried out to investigate the financial setup of countries, and therefore may not represent all sectoral aspects, but they do provide general insights of the new financial landscape (blended finances) at a national level recognized by many development institutions around the world. The new and innovative financial model in this research may be used as an informed solution to the growing financial challenges faced in the Tanzania WaSH sector. The time left before reaching the SDG deadline is short and fast approaching. Globally, countries are left with only 9 years to achieve ‘universal access to clean water and sanitation and ensuring no one is left behind’. In the world full of possibilities, it is injustice for governments not to make change and adapt to an ever-changing world in order to maintain their responsibilities, deliver quality services to people, and protect public health.

 


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ANNEXES

ANNEX 1: CORE CONCEPTS AND DEFINITIONS

 

Term

Definition

3Ts

“Refer to the mix of tariffs, taxation and transfers from Official Development Assistance (ODA) and other forms of solidarity that provide revenues for water service providers and fill the financing gap (OECD, 2010).

Market-based repayable finance

A sub-set of repayable finance, where financing

is provided through the market by private actors” (OECD, 2010).

Concessional loans

“Concessional loans are extended on terms substantially more generous than market loans. The concessions are achieved either through interest rates below those available on the market or by grace periods, or a combination of these.” Concessional loans typically have long grace periods (OECD, 2010).

Public funds

“Financial flows coming via governments and charitable organisations from taxation and transfers. This may include public investment in infrastructure, public subsidies for operations and maintenance costs or the grant element in concessionary repayable finance” (OECD, 2010).

Financing

Financing is how you pay upfront for infrastructure” (Institute for Government, 2021)

Funding

“Funding is how taxpayers, consumers or others ultimately pay for infrastructure, including paying back the finance from whichever source government or private owners choose” (Institute for Government, 2021).

 

Tariffs includes the service user fees, household investments, charges and payments made by the service users themselves in exchange for the WaSH services they receive (OECD, 2019a). Tariffs can be charged in different schemes depending on local areas where the services are provided, but in most countries, service providers are responsible for collecting tariffs in order to cover their expenditures (World Bank and UNICEF, 2017). Tariffs from users are very important contribution towards sustainable cost recovery for WaSH services and long-term financial sustainability in the sector as well as providing incentives for efficient use of the service (OECD, 2009).

Taxes are revenues include all funding allocated from domestic public budgets, channelled to the public WaSH service providers. These budgets are usually supplied by the governments to the service providers either for building new infrastructures or operational subsides (WHO, 2012).

Transfers are funds that comes from international donors, charitable organizations, and decentralised corporations, primarily in the form of official development assistance (ODA) or grants or concessional loans (OECD, 2009).

Safely managed’ andimproved’ services

For water supply services, safely managed services are calculated by the population of people using an improved drinking water source which is within the location, available when required and free from contaminations (feacal, arsenic and fluoride). ‘Improved’ water sources comprise of piped water into houses, yard or plot; public taps or water points; boreholes or tube-wells; protected dug wells; protected springs; packaged water; delivered water and rainwater. Safely managed sanitation, including hand-washing facility with soap and water is measured by “the proportion of population using ‘improved’ sanitation facility, which is not shared with other households, where excreta is safely disposed onsite or treated off-site” (JMP, 2021). ‘Improved’ sanitation facilities are defined as “those designated to hygienically separate excreta wastes from human contacts and include flush or pour flush toilets to sewer systems, septic tanks or pit latrines, VIP latrines, pit latrines with a slab, and composting toilets” (JMP, 2021).

 

 

 

 

ANNEX 2: BACKGROUNDS OF CASE STUDY COUNTRIES

 

Annex 2.1 Tanzania Social-Economic Overview

 

Socio-economic background

Tanzania is located in the East Africa region, with the largest population in the region of 59 million people, annual population growth of 3%, and ranking 24th in global population ranking (UN data, 2021). It is estimated that 63% (37 million) of the population stays in the rural areas of Tanzania, while  urban population accounts for 37% (22 million) plus a rapid rate of urbanization in major cities. After a two-year sustained eco-nomic growth, Tanzania made a significant economic milestone in July 2020 of formally graduating from a ‘low-income country’ status to a ‘lower middle-income country’ with the cumulative GDP of US$ 63 billion as of 2019 (World Bank Group, 2021).

In July 2020, the World Bank announced that the GNI per capital raised from US$ 1020 in 2018 to US$ 1080 in 2019, and therefore exceeding the low-middle income threshold of $1,036 (The World Bank, 2021). Overall, in the past five years, Tanzania has sustained the GDP growth rate averaged 5.5%, ranking third in East Africa behind Ethiopia (7.6%) and Rwanda (6.9%) (World Bank Group, 2021). Despite this growth in recent decade, the occurrence of the novel covid pandemic since 2020 has hindered economic progress of many countries. Tanzania has seen its economic growth rate fall from the previous rate of 7% to about 4.8% in 2020 and expected to grow by 5.6% in 2022 (Deloitte, 2021). Com-pared to other countries in the region and continent, the economic performance of Tanzania is amongst the few economies that did not experience negative economic contraction caused by COVID-19 in 2020 and 2021 (Deloitte, 2021).

The challenges for the country remain to recover to its sustained growth rate in achieving its development vision and SDG targets while ensuring inclusive growth amongst the population who have been impacted by COVID-19. While most of the major economies in the world have started resuming to recover from the recent pandemic’s shocks, it may be the case that Tanzania will take longer to adapt and recover from its aftermath.

 

Annex 2.2 Philippines socio-economic and wash sector overview

Socio-economic overview

The republic of the Philippines is an island country in the Southern of Asia and Western of Pacific Ocean consisting of about 7,641 islands. (Government of Philippines, 2021) with a population of about 109.5 million and a population growth rate of about 1.35% (World Bank, 2021). Philippines is among of the best economies performing well in the East Asia with the GDP of US$ 361.5 billion with a maintained average annual GDP growth of 6.4% from 2010 to 2019, which grew from 4.5% between 2000-2009 (World Bank, 2020).

Philippines is on its way to attain another economic milestone of moving from lower income country with per capita income of US$ 3,850 in 2019 to an ‘upper middle-income country) in the few years (World Bank, 2020). The economy has, however been heavily challenged by recent hit of COVID-19 pandemic which caused shutting down of businesses as a measure, although the economy is expected to improve slowly in 2021/2022 as the domestic and global control of the disease continue (World Bank, 2020). 

 Philippine WaSH sector overview

Philippines has made a considerable improvement to ensuring its population have access to basic access to water drinking water supply and sanitation facilities. According to the JMP data, 94% of the population of Philippines have access to drinking water services, of which 47% have access to ‘safely managed’ level while the other 47% have access to basic level of service.

Additionally, the data indicates that 82% of Philippines have access to basic sanitation and hygiene facilities at their home. The Philippines WaSH sector roadmaps shows a vision of attaining universal coverage of drinking water by 2025 and sanitation by 2028 (World Bank/WSP, 2015). To achieve such ambitious goals which are beyond the SDG ambitions of 2030, with population growth of 1.35% per year (1.5 million per year), it is predicted that US$ 838 million annual investment of would be needed for drinking water (World Bank/WSP, 2015). On the other hands, sanitation would need annual investment of US$ 619 million (World Bank/WSP, 2015).

To reach to this level of investments needed, Philippines made a significant step of reforming their financial arrangements for water and sanitation sector. Previously, the water and sanitation sector of Philippines, like many other countries (like Tanzania, a case study for this research) suffered the lack of investments from private sector and thus depended on traditional financial sources (3Ts) which were dominated by international development funds (World Bank, 2016). Furthermore, WSPs (Local Government Unit and Water Districts) faced strong political tension to keep water tariffs lower to below the cost-recovery levels leading to failure of operation and maintenance of the existing infrastructures (ADB, 2013). This led to the reform of financial structure to allow the flow of private domestic finances into water and sanitation sector.

Impact/Results of the PWRF approach

The PWRF achieved the following:

  • 4 years after setting out the PWRF, 22 Water Districts were assisted to secure loan agreements of about 87 US$ 87 million (4.3 billion Philippine peso) for financing new projects, transmission, and expansion of distribution networks (Alma, 2009).
  • By 2014, loans worth more than US234 million (11.7 Billion Philippine peso) had been borrowed to finance 21 water and sanitation projects benefiting over six million people, 60% of the raised loans were collected from private financiers (World Bank, 2016).
  • The technical assistance provided by the USAID to the water utilities, Development Bank of the Philippines and commercial banks helped to build strong WaSH projects appraisal and evaluated the risks and provided further opportunities for the investments in the sector (Water and Sanitation for All, 2020). As of 2017, USAID provided technical assistance worth a total cost of US$6.8 million (Water and Sanitation for All, 2020).

 

Annex 2.3 Kenya socio-economic and wash sector overview

Socio-Economic Overview

Kenya is also East Africa with an estimated population of 54 million as of 2021, with an average population growth rate of about 2.2% per annum and expected to hit 63 million people by 2030 (CEIC, 2021). In 2015, water coverage in areas covered by Water Service Providers stood at 53% while sewerage coverage stood at 16% (The Water and Sanitation Program, 2015). Kenya became a lower middle-income country since 2014, ahead of Tanzania. Kenya has a GDP of US$ 95 billion and 5.7% averaged economic growth rate compared to 5.5% of Tanzania, making it one of the rapid expanding economies in Sub-Saharan Africa (World Bank, 2021).

Kenya Water Supply and Sanitation (WSS) Sector Overview and financial needs

The basic water access in Kenya stands at 59%, 29% have access to basic sanitation while 25% have access to basic handwashing facilities (UNICEF/WHO, 2017). Significantly, around 10 million people drinks from contaminated water sources while an estimate of 5 million people practice open defecation (UNICEF, 2021). Despite these challenges, Kenya has a 2030 vision of attaining 100% coverage of safe water supply and basic sanitation services (Water and Sanitation Program, 2015). The Kenyan water sector has heavily depended 70% of their annual WaSH capital investments coming from donor aids and grants while the government contributes a larger percent of the rest budget and private sector contributing almost a negligible percent (Kenya Ministry of Water, Sanitation and Irrigation, 2019).

For Kenya to progressively achieve universal access to WaSH services by 2030, 200,000 new water networks and 350,000 new sewer connections (for around 3.2 million Kenyans) are needed annually in urban areas, while more challenging connectivity will need to be carried out in rural areas to guarantee equal access (Kenya Ministry of Water & Sanitation, 2019). This demonstrates the urge for the Kenyan WaSH sector to practical ways to mobilize domestically available private funds. To ensure full realization of their national 2030 vison of universal access WaSH services all Kenyan is reached with the service, a heavy budget provision of US$ 16.36 Billion (translating to US$ 927.2 million) must be committed into the sector by 2030, of which only US$ 370.9 million is available annually (Ministry of Water, Sanitation and Irrigation, 2019).

Impacts/Results of creditworthiness in Kenyan WaSH sector

The following are the benefits of creditworthiness Index for both WSPs, lenders and regulators:

  • Creditworthiness Index provided an independent and transparent credit evaluation of WSP’s creditworthy to lenders (World Bank/WSP and WASREB, 2011).
  • The creditworthiness Index results has been proven as an accurate predictor of liquidity risks and its severity, thus helping the lenders to decide whether to lend into the utility or not (World Bank/WSP and WASREB, 2011).
  • It improved a negotiating environment for between utilities with lenders in regard to financial terms (interest rates and tenor time) (World Bank/WSP and WASREB, 2011).
  • It also allows less creditworthy utilities understand their credit weaknesses and focus on the key areas of addressing key problems (World Bank/WSP and WASREB, 2011).

 

ANNEX 3: KENYA CREDITWORTHINESS INDICATORS

ANNEX 4: WASH SECTOR INVESTMENT ISSUES AND HOW COUNTRIES HAVE RESPONDED TO SOLVING THEM.

 

Sectoral issue

Tanzania WaSH sector situation

Mechanism of coping/what improvements are needed

Philippines WaSH sector situation before PWRF

Innovation resolved the issue

Kenya WaSH sector situation before the creditworthiness Index

How Creditworthiness Index is solving the issue

 

 

 

Limited capital investments and inability of the utilities to meet operation and maintenance costs

·   Annual US$ 1.2 billion is required to realise the sector vision of universal access to water and sanitation by 2030, but only US$ 885 million is available annually (USAID, 2020).

·   The budget allocation for Water and Sanitation accounts for only 2% of the total national budget and 0.5% of the national GDP (UNICEF Tanzania, 2020).

·   In 2005, Tanzania established a National Water Investment Fund (NWIF) which came into operation since 2015 with the objective of mobilising finances for water supply and sanitation service (URT, Ministry of Water, 2020).

·   Currently, the only source of fund for NWIF is tax collected through the imposed charges on buying every litre of fuel (URT, Ministry of Water, 2020).

·   Before the PWRF, Philippines depended on insufficient traditional financing sources, mainly a combination of government revenues, foreign funds and tariffs collected from service users (World Bank, 2016).

·   Establishment of revolving fund which encouraged the recirculation of loan to develop other projects (World Bank, 2016).

·    

·   According to the Kenya Ministry’s Sector Investment Plan, annual investment in the sector has averaged Kenyan Shillings (Kshs) 20 billion (US$ 184.2 Millions) against Kshs 300 billion (US$ 2.76 billion) needed (WSP and WASREB, 2015 A).

·   In 2011, The government of Kenya through its regulatory body for water service providers (WASREB) set a shadow credit rating system to facilitate commercial lending into WSP (WSP and WASREB, 2015 A). In 2015, the shadow credit rating system was further reformed into the creditworthiness index to provide cheap and automated financial information (WSP and WASREB, 2015 A).

 

 

 

 

Dependence on external grants

An average of 35% of the total Water sectoral budget each year come external funding, especially bilateral and multilateral donors (USAID, 2020). Tanzania stood fourth as the top Africa recipient of ODA for WaSH sector in 2017, from OECD countries, receiving about US$ 316 million, commitments (OECD, 2019a).

·   Although the government established the National Water Fund to cope with the unpredictable foreign funds, the government investment in WaSH in 2019/20 has declined by 10.5% and 16.6% respectively between FY 2017/18 and 2018/19 (UNICEF Tanzania, 2020).

·   For many years before the enactment of the Executive Order, 279, Philippines overwhelmingly depended on overseas’ financial contributions to water sector (Smets and Susanna.2015).

·   The 2004 Executive Order 279 mandated creditworthy local WSPs to tap into market-based financing sources and shift from overdependence on public funds (Smets and Susanna.2015).

·   Approximately, over 50% of the Kenyan water sector budget comes from foreign development partners. In 2013/2014, out of KShs 24 billion (US$ 221 Million), KShs 13.9 billion (US$ 128 million) came from foreign donors (World Bank/WSP and WASREB, 2015. A)

·   As of 2018, creditworthiness Index has facilitated about 50 transactions from private local lenders into the water sector (World Bank, 2018). Over US$ 25 million of private capital has been mobilized to finance new WaSH projects in Kenya (World Bank 2018)

 

Lack of regulatory framework to support commercial borrowing

·   USAID (2020) report stated that private institutions are not satisfactory of the current regulatory framework to addressing the sector investment risks, instead the current regulation framework discourages private financial institutions to extend their investment into the sector.

·   The new Water and sanitation Act still does not provide clear guidance for private investors in WaSH sector.

·   Before the 2004 policy reform for the WaSH sector, Philippines was fragmented by poor institutional arrangement that discouraged the flow of commercial finances into the sector (Alma, 2009).

·   Regulatory and institutional strengthening through enactment of Executive Order (EO) 279 was issued in 2004 delegating creditworthy WSPs to move from government funds to private finances (World Bank, 2016).

 

·   Before the 2002 Water Act, service providers did not have opportunity to borrow from private institutions.

·   In 2002, the Kenyan government established an ambitious regulatory reform for the WaSH sector through enactment of Water Act of 2002. The Water Act among other things, mandated the WSPs as the private entities that are independent, autonomous, and run professionally as business and can source finances from private investors (World Bank/WSP and WASREB, 2015. B).

 

 

 

 Unprofitable investment due to poor returns

·   Water utilities are run as a free social service and are highly politicised (USAID, 2020). Often, water utilities serve the interests of politician by charging very low tariffs in favour to secure political positions and thus significantly affecting pricing and financial returns (USAID, 2020).

·   Utilities are faced by high non-water revenue, with a national average of 30.2%, well beyond a national target of 25% (URT, Ministry of Water, 2020).

·   Clear regulations for tariff setting are needed.

·   Technical assistance is needed to assist utilities to develop an understanding of the sector as a business sector.

 

 

·   Until very recent, provision of water related service was perceived as a free service that citizens deserved without any contribution (Asia Development Bank, 2013).

·   A massive institutional and policy reform backed by the enactment of the Executive Order 279 in 2004 supported running of water utilities as business rather than a free social service (World Bank, 2016).

·    

·   Water is considered a social good that everybody should have access to freely, and therefore it generates very little financial return (World Bank/WSP and WASREB, 2015. B).

·   After its establishment, the WASREB established guidelines for tariff settings in order to limit the political influence of the price of WaSH services (World Bank/WSP and WASREB, 2015. B).

 

High interest rates that do not fit the sector nature of business.

·   The average lending rates of private bank in Tanzania ranges between 15 and 16% (Bank of Tanzania, 2019).

·   No existing financial and regulatory framework for lowering borrowing costs from commercial lenders in Tanzania.

·   The interest rate for pure commercial finances in Philippines is 12% (USAID, [No date]).

·   Blending of ODA component with domestic commercial finances lowered the interest rate by at least 1-2%. Currently, the interest rate for commercial lending in Philippine’s water sector ranged from 6% to 10.5% (Miha, 2019).

·   Commercial lending is usually expensive with higher interests and hard to obtain in water sector due to low commercial viability of the sector (World Bank/WSP and WASREB, 2015. B).

·   Creditworthiness increased the business conversation between lenders and borrowers, which provided an opportunity for negotiation of loan interest with regards to capital investment (World Bank/WSP and WASREB, 2015. B).

 

 

 

 

 

Loan tenor limitations

·   Although some banks prefer not to publicly announce the tenor period for loans, some banks such as National Microfinance Bank (NMB) NMB stated that it is willing to provide a maximum of 5 years tenor time for cooperate loans with a grace period of only up to 12 months (NMB Bank, 2021). Additionally, the institution borrowing must demonstrate the capacity to provide up to 25% of the total capital investment (NMB Bank, 2021).

·     Few Banks, such as Tanzania Investment Bank (TIB) has formulated separate loan framework to complement the government vision in investing in infrastructure, including WaSH infrastructure.

·   The recent water sector report identifies repayable finances and Public-Private partnership as the alternative financial source for the sector, however a detailed plan for attracting private lenders need to be developed (URT, Ministry of Water, 2020).

·     Technical assistance is needed to familiarise private banks with the special needs of WaSH sector to improve their loan packages.

·   PFIs in Philippines lends for 7 - 10-years, while utilities require 15 - 20-years tenor (Alma, 2009).

·   Blending nature of the PWRF resulted into longer grace period (up to 10 years), longer tenor up to 20 years, with an option for private lenders to terminate their loan agreement and get their repayment early (Alma, 2009).

·  The commercial banks in Kenya provides lending periods not more than 7 years long while the economic life of WaSH asset is much longer than the preferred tenor time (World Bank/WSP and WASREB, 2015. B).

·    

·   The guaranteeing system provided by the USAID provided the confidence of the investment and reduced the lending risks, consequently the private lenders extended the loan tenor and reduced interest rate (Bender, 2017).

Domestic private financial institutions lack experience in lending to the WaSH sector

·   Lack of financial documentations by the water authorities to allow private financial institutions to evaluate the financial performances thus lead to lack of trustworthy. It’s a strong requirement for private banks to have a clean financial performance and must be demonstrated through financial statements of the previous transactions.

·   EWURA is mandated to regulate the performance of the WaSH service providers, their report focuses mainly on the overall general performance ranking for utilities and not the potential of the utilities to attract private loans (USAID, 2020).

 

·   Lack of Information and Commercial Banks perceptions of the WaSH sector as the high risk amplified the perceived risks of water utilities in Philippines (Jeremias, 2011).

·   Additional technical support/assistance provided by USAID to the commercial banks.

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·  Conventionally, due to lack of financial arrangement of the sector, private lenders have categorised the WaSH sector in Kenya as high-risk area of investment, with complex financing settings (World Bank/WSP and WASREB, 2015.A).

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·   The Creditworthiness Index Report provided annually by the WASREB has offered an insight to private lenders on the WSP financial performance and credit ratings, allowing private banks to evaluate the investment risks of the WSPs (World Bank/WSP and WASREB, 2015.A).

WSPs lack experience to borrow from domestic private financial institutions

·   WSPs (utilities) still lack the necessary technical and financial skillset to professionally run water utilities (USAID, 2020). The technical support programmes for public WaSH authorities are often underfunded, relying solely on foreign assistances to support programmes (USAID, 2020).

·   commercial altitude and business development skills is needed for WSPs staff to familiarise with the lending procedures and improve their potential to reach commercial viability (USAID, 2020).

·   Utility leaders from Water Districts and LGUs did not have sound business plans to convince PFIs for lending (Jeremias, 2011).

·   USAID provided an additional technical assistance worth of US$ 6.8 million to both DBP, commercial banks and service providers (Water and Sanitation for All, 2020).

·   The WSPs lacks experience of borrowing from private lenders because of the limited flow of commercial finances into the sector and therefore are often unfamiliar with borrowing criteria of private financers (World Bank/WSP and WASREB, 2015.A).

·   The World Bank through its Global Partnership on Output Based Aid (GPOBA) provides technical assistance to both lenders and borrowers involved in commercial lending of the designated project (World Bank/WSP and WASREB, 2015.A).

WSPs lacks creditworthiness

·   There is lack of strong, independent credit evaluator for the Water and sanitation authorities in Tanzania, which lead to poor financial transparency and consequently lack of creditworthiness.

·   Currently, UWURA provides general performance review of water utilities by ranking them using performance in service coverage, water supply service hours, metering ratio, staff productivity, non-revenue hours and their general financial performance (EWURA, 2020).

·   Before the establishment of credit rating system, the challenge of commercial investments in WaSH sector was the lack of credible way of convincing private lenders to extend their credit to the sector (Lawrence et al, 2020). Water utilities were operating on a high non-revenue water (average of 39%), and thus large volume of water was left unbilled (Lawrence et al, 2020).

·   In 2004, the government introduced credit rating scales for Water Districts and LGU conducted by an independent credit rating agency, CRISIL, an Indian-based rating agency (USAID, 2013).

·   Both USAID and JICA provided technical assistance to improve WSP creditworthy (Water and Sanitation for All, 2020)

·   Private financiers are reluctant to lend to water sectors because of high liquidity risks World Bank/WSP and WASREB, 2015.A).

·   Creditworthiness Index allows the rated WSP to identify the areas of weakness that reduces their credit scores and establish actions of improvement and are allowed to apply for foreign technical assistance under regulations (World Bank/WSP and WASREB, 2015. B).

 

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